BRITAIN BEATS - UK GDP comes in better than expectations

Advertisement

union jack

Reuters / Jason Cairnduff

The UK's GDP reading for the second quarter of 2016 just came in at 0.6%, according to the Office for National Statistics - a beat on the expectations of economists who had forecast growth of just 0.5%.

Advertisement

On an annual basis, GDP rose by 2.2%, another beat from the 2.1% predicted.

The numbers released on Wednesday are a preliminary reading produced with roughly 50% of all data collected, so could easily be revised upwards or downwards when more complete information is provided, but the numbers suggest that the British economy actually accelerated ahead of the country's European Union referendum in June.

Ahead of the referendum several indicators suggested that activity in the UK was slowing a little in anticipation of the result, but the ONS' new figures suggest that this was not the case.

The data will also provide a boost for those who believe that the economic impact of the EU referendum result - a vote for Brexit - might not be quite as substantial as has been widely predicted. Since the result, virtually every economic survey has pointed to a sharp slowdown in the economy, with last Friday's Markit PMIs painting a particularly bleak picture. Many organisations are also predicting a recession, but Wednesday's numbers are encouraging.

Advertisement

The 0.6% growth was driven largely by strong quarterly performances by the production and services sectors, while agriculture and construction provided a small drag on the numbers. Here's the ONS' chart:

ONS q2 gdp 1

ONS

And here's how the quarter looks as part of the longer term trend:

UK q2 gdp 2

ONS

Commenting on the numbers, newly appointed Chancellor of the Exchequer said:

Advertisement

"Today's GDP figures show that the fundamentals of the British economy are strong. In the second quarter of this year our economy grew by 0.6 per cent - faster than was expected. Indeed we saw the strongest quarterly rise in production for nearly twenty years, so it is clear we enter our negotiations to leave the EU from a position of economic strength.

Those negotiations will signal the beginning of a period of adjustment, but I am confident we have the tools to manage the challenges ahead, and along with the Bank of England, this government will take whatever action is necessary to support our economy and maintain business and consumer confidence."