Here are the winners and losers in just about every economic scenario we can imagine

There hasn't been a great deal going on in recent weeks.

The global economy is humming along, and the wild market swings we've seen over the past 12 months have been notable by their absence.

Still, there are risks on the horizon.

"Global growth is still seen as on track to recover gradually toward its underlying trend of 3-1/2% over the year ahead," Deutsche Bank said in a note. "We recognize, however, that numerous potential unforeseen events could alter this path."

A team of Deutsche Bank economists led by Peter Hooper used a "vector autoregression" model to try and figure out how gross-domestic product in certain countries responds to various events. Here's what they found: