Back in 2000, the CIA made 8 predictions on what life would be like in 2015

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International affairs are increasingly determined by large and powerful organizations rather than governments.

International affairs are increasingly determined by large and powerful organizations rather than governments.

Verdict: True

One example of this phenomenon has been the rise of the Islamic State.

And there is also a prominent category of actors that blur the line between private actors and the state such as the pro-Russian separatists in Ukraine, the Chinese hackers suspected of stealing information about millions of U.S. government employees, and the possibly-not-North Korean hackers who took down Sony last year.

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Between now and 2015 terrorist tactics will become increasingly sophisticated and designed to achieve mass casualties.

Between now and 2015 terrorist tactics will become increasingly sophisticated and designed to achieve mass casualties.

Verdict: True

Sadly, this prediction became true quickly, on September 11, 2001. And ISIS' proficiency with technology (like encryption) represents a new layer of coordination.

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Iraq and Iran [will] develop long range missiles in the near future. Iran … could be testing such weapons by as early as the coming year, and cruise missiles by 2004.

Iraq and Iran [will] develop long range missiles in the near future. Iran … could be testing such weapons by as early as the coming year, and cruise missiles by 2004.

Verdict: Both true and false

The US led a landmark nuclear deal with Iran in July called the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The deal is supposed to be a check on Iran's ability to amass the components needed for a nuclear weapon over the next 15 years.

But Iran "tested a liquid-fueled missile ... capable of carrying a nuclear warhead" last month, according to Reuters, and another nuclear-capable Emad-class missile in October.

The world population will grow by more than one billion, to 7.2 billion.

The world population will grow by more than one billion, to 7.2 billion.

Verdict: True

The world population is now almost 7.4 billion.

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Energy resources will be sufficient to meet demand.

Energy resources will be sufficient to meet demand.

Verdict: True

US oil production has soared in the last few years, and though the price of US natural gas has recently been low, production has continued to rise.

China's economy will grow to overtake Europe as the world's second largest but still behind the United States.

China's economy will grow to overtake Europe as the world's second largest but still behind the United States.

Verdict: True-ish

By some measurements, China's economy is now larger than the US economy. But by other measures, the European economy as a whole is bigger than both.

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Europe will not achieve fully the dreams of parity with the US as a shaper of the global economic system.

Europe will not achieve fully the dreams of parity with the US as a shaper of the global economic system.

Verdict: Not quite true

The CIA report was very bullish on the European economy, which has generally been sluggish in 2015.

Aids, famine, and continuing economic and political turmoil means that populations in many [African] countries will actually fall.

Aids, famine, and continuing economic and political turmoil means that populations in many [African] countries will actually fall.

Verdict: False

Africa's population rose from 800 million in 2000 to 1.1 billion in 2014. And a UN report predicts that "more than half of global population growth between now and 2050 is expected to occur in Africa."

Additional reporting by Armin Rosen.

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