Iraq's incompetent military is in even worse shape than it appears
Despite over a decade's worth of US training and military support for the Baghdad government, along with 11 months of US-led coalition airstrikes against ISIS in Iraq and the mobilization of Iranian-backed Shiite militias to fight the jihadist group, ISIS has continued to gain ground in the country.At the end of May, ISIS overran the Iraqi provincial capital of Ramadi. The loss of the city, located only 77 miles from Baghdad, spurred US Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter to comment that the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) had "no will to fight."
The loss of Ramadi signals ISIS' continued strategic momentum nearly a year after seizing Mosul. But it also highlights the Iraqi military's complete state of disarray. The majority of the ISF is not battle-ready. And the units that have the necessary training and equipment to take on ISIS are exhausted and demoralized."About a month before Ramadi fell ... I pointed out that Iraq had perhaps 10,000 combat effective troops spread among three special forces units," Mitchell Prothero, McClatchy's Iraq correspondent, writes for Politico. "[T]hese effective units were exhausted after a year of being plugged into every military need that arose around the country."
"Today, the Iraqi government would be lucky if 5,000 of its effective troops are still in fighting shape," Prothero concludes.
These factors, taken together with ISIS' brutally effective battlefield tactics, which included the use of multi-ton suicide car bombs, routed the ISF forces defending Ramadi. In the face this collapse, even the highly capable Iraqi special forces - trained and largely established by US Special Forces - were forced to retreat.
Photojournalist Ayman Oghanna, who was embedded in Ramadi with Iraqi special forces two days before the city fell, told NPR that although the group had the will to fight it was not able to defend an entire city against an ISIS assault as the rest of the ISF fled."The numbers, at this point, are irrelevant." What really matters, said Oghanna, are the number "who ... are going to stay there and fight ISIS?"
Oghanna added that the troops that stayed to defend the city were capable of overmatched: "[T]he only people who remained behind were Iraq's Golden Division - the ISOF, their Special Forces. And their numbers are far smaller."
This reliance upon Shiite militias, assisted by the continuing breakdown of Iraq's national military, foreshadows a country with eroding sovereignty, intractable sectarian rivalries, and an ever-thinning veneer of central authority - problems that will likely haunt Iraq long after ISIS is defeated.