'The foundation for a powerful US dollar rally is in place'
Stephane Mahe/Reuters
After a strong two years, the dollar has remained more or less flat during the last few months, with the trade-weighted dollar index hovering near a range of 93 to 98.
But now, some analysts are arguing that the greenback could have some room to go.
"...the foundation for a powerful USD rally is in place. In many aspects, the USD outlook is stronger than it was last year," argued a Morgan Stanley team led by Hans W. Redeker in a recent note.
"Valuation has moderated and the market is expecting fewer hikes over the next 12 months than it did at this time last year. With only 27bp priced in, including 15bp in December, there is less scope for hikes to be priced out. As a result, risk appetite may suffer in response to any downside surprise in growth, in turn boosting the USD," they explained.
Meanwhile, a BNP Paribas team led by Steven Saywell wrote in a note that they remain "cautiously positioned for USD gains later this year via USDJPY, EURUSD."
Still, not everyone shares that view.
Jefferies' chief market strategist, David Zervos, recently had a more bearish take, arguing that this year's presidential election could lead to a weaker American currency. That is in part because of the two major-party nominees' somewhat skeptical positions on free trade, with Republican Donald Trump being the more negative influence.
In any case, the US dollar is closing out the week on a strong footing, and is up by 0.4% at 98.68 as of 10:57 a.m. ET.
- I spent $2,000 for 7 nights in a 179-square-foot room on one of the world's largest cruise ships. Take a look inside my cabin.
- Colon cancer rates are rising in young people. If you have two symptoms you should get a colonoscopy, a GI oncologist says.
- Saudi Arabia wants China to help fund its struggling $500 billion Neom megaproject. Investors may not be too excited.
- Catan adds climate change to the latest edition of the world-famous board game
- Tired of blatant misinformation in the media? This video game can help you and your family fight fake news!
- Tired of blatant misinformation in the media? This video game can help you and your family fight fake news!
- JNK India IPO allotment – How to check allotment, GMP, listing date and more
- Indian Army unveils selfie point at Hombotingla Pass ahead of 25th anniversary of Kargil Vijay Diwas