God did not deliver south India for BJP while a lost friend cost them dear

·In TN, the Congress and DMK combine is expected to win more than 25 seats, according to four out of five polls
·In Andhra, four exit polls predict that YSR-C will win over 15 seats, whereas TDP will be lucky to get ten.
·In Kerala, Congress and UDF are expected to win 15 seats, according to most polls.

·Almost all exit polls suggest that BJP will over 20 seats in Karnataka.

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may be headed for a big win in the Northern states, but in four out five Southern states, it seems to have made fatal mistakes.

BJP’s partner limps in Tamil Nadu

As per exit polls, in Tamil Nadu, BJP bet on the wrong horse. Their coalition partner, AIADMK (All India Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam) is expected to win fewer than 10 seats. Only News 18-IPSOS poll believes they will win 14 seats, while India Today-Axis poll believes they will win anywhere between zero to four!

Congress’ partner DMK (Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam) on the other hand, has been a clear favourite. Four out of five polls say that they will win more than 25 seats, while two of them will say that they will win more than 30 seats.

Naidu’s fury

Both Telugu Desam Party (TDP) and BJP could have gained from an alliance, a second time around. But that was not to be. TDP head Chandrababu Naidu broke away from National Democratic Alliance (NDA) as his state was not given special status.

BJP also failed to forge another alliance in the state. Most polls believe that YSR Congress (YSR-C), headed by Jagan Reddy could be a net gainer as electorate is exasperated with BJP and TDP alike.

Four exit polls predict that YSR-C will win over 15 seats, whereas TDP will be lucky to get 10. Only Today’s Chanakya believes that TDP will get 17 seats.

Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS), which is headed by K Chandrasekhara Rao, known as KCR, is expected to come back with a thumping majority.

Rao will hold most seats in hand and will be more valuable for the formation of a federal front, rather than Naidu who has been meeting every non-BJP leader in New Delhi.


Kerala’s Temple Run-ins

In Kerala too, BJP which had no allies in place, is expected to report a dismal performance, and would be lucky to retain the single seat they won last year.

This time around, experts said that there is a Modi wave which vanished after allowing women to enter Sabarimala temple.

BJP’s arch rival Congress which struck a deal with United Democratic Front (UDF) is expected to win 15 seats, according to most polls.

The only good news for BJP comes from Karnataka. Almost all the exit polls suggest that BJP will over 20 seats in the current elections, leaving the Congress and Janata Dal-Secular combine with less than half of it.