Global growth to hit 11-year low: OECD

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  • The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) expects the global economic growth to hit a 11-year low in 2019-20.
  • Increasing trade tensions and high policy uncertainty are two of the primary reasons.
  • Trade conflicts are taking a toll on confidence and investment.
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has predicted further slowdown in the global economy this year and in 2020, citing escalating trade tension and high policy uncertainty.

Updating its outlook on Thursday, the OECD, which groups 36 of the world's leading economies, revised down its global growth forecast for 2019 and 2020 to 2.9 per cent and 3 per cent respectively -- "the weakest annual growth rates since the financial crisis (in 2008), with downside risks continuing to mount", Xinhua reported.

The Paris-based organization had previously expected global growth to accelerate by 3.2 per cent this year and by 3.4 per cent next year. The figure was at 3.6 per cent in 2018.

"The global economy is facing increasingly serious headwinds and slow growth is becoming worryingly entrenched," said Laurence Boone, OECD chief economist.

"The uncertainty provoked by the continuing trade tensions has been long-lasting, reducing activity worldwide and jeopardizing our economic future. Governments need to seize the opportunity afforded by today's low interest rates to renew investment in infrastructure and promote the economy of the future," she added.

In its interim growth outlook, the OECD painted a grim outlook for both advanced and emerging economies because "escalating trade conflicts are taking an increasing toll on confidence and investment, adding to policy uncertainty, aggravating risks in financial markets and endangering already weak growth prospects worldwide."

In a bid to end the gloom, the OECD recommended "greater structural reform ambition" to help offset the impact of the negative supply shocks from rising restrictions on trade and cross-border investment and enhance medium-term living standards and opportunities."

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