GOLDMAN SACHS: Buy these 18 stocks to profit from economic growth - and receive regular cash payments in the process

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GOLDMAN SACHS: Buy these 18 stocks to profit from economic growth - and receive regular cash payments in the process

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Reuters / Steve Marcus

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  • The stock market is at a point where strong economic growth can hurt it. That's because any resulting rate hikes from the Federal Reserve could lessen the appeal of equities versus bonds.
  • Goldman Sachs says that companies returning cash to shareholders tend to outperform during these periods of economic expansion.
  • The firm has identified 18 companies it expects to beat the broader market as gross domestic product increases.

A robust, growing economy doesn't always mean a strong stock market.

Sure, an expanding economy is a crucial component of the profit growth that drives share prices higher. But at a certain point the Federal Reserve has to step in to make sure conditions don't get overheated.

We're at that point right now.

Investors increasingly having to contend with the fact that strong growth in economic indicators like gross domestic product (GDP) may wind up hurting equities, which are enjoying their longest bull market on record.

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The reason is straightforward: The Fed will raise rates in order to keep the economy in check, and that will make stocks less attractive compared to their fixed-income counterparts.

So what's a trader to do? Goldman Sachs recommends seeking out companies that return high levels of cash to investors, whether that means through share buybacks or dividend payments. The chart below shows this dynamic in action.

Screen Shot 2018 11 08 at 3.03.36 PM

Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

"During strong GDP growth environments, companies returning the most cash to shareholders typically outperform firms investing for future growth," a group of Goldman strategists wrote in a recent client note.

To make matters even easier for investors, Goldman actually maintains a basket of companies that have offered the highest cash returns over the past year. The firm recommends buying them if you want to make outsized profits as GDP climbs higher.

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Without further ado, here are the 18 stocks with the highest trailing 12-month combined buyback and dividend yield, ranked in increasing order.

Get the latest Goldman Sachs stock price here.

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18. NetApp

18. NetApp

Ticker: NTAP

Industry: Information technology

Market cap: $22 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 13%

Source: Goldman Sachs

17. Lam Research

17. Lam Research

Ticker: LRCX

Industry: Information technology

Market cap: $23 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 13%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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16. Hewlett Packard Enterprise

16. Hewlett Packard Enterprise

Ticker: HPE

Industry: Information technology

Market cap: $25 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 13%

Source: Goldman Sachs

15. Corning

15. Corning

Ticker: GLW

Industry: Information technology

Market cap: $29 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 13%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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14. Juniper Networks

14. Juniper Networks

Ticker: JNPR

Industry: Information technology

Market cap: $10 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 13%

Source: Goldman Sachs

13. Anadarko Petroleum

13. Anadarko Petroleum

Ticker: APC

Industry: Energy

Market cap: $35 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 13%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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12. Franklin Resources

12. Franklin Resources

Ticker: BEN

Industry: Financials

Market cap: $16 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 13%

Source: Goldman Sachs

11. Kroger

11. Kroger

Ticker: KR

Industry: Consumer staples

Market cap: $23 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 14%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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10. Citrix Systems

10. Citrix Systems

Ticker: CTXS

Industry: Information technology

Market cap: $15 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 14%

Source: Goldman Sachs

9. Phillips 66

9. Phillips 66

Ticker: PSX

Industry: Energy

Market cap: $55 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 14%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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8. Discover Financial

8. Discover Financial

Ticker: DFS

Industry: Financials

Market cap: $27 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 14%

Source: Goldman Sachs

7. Best Buy

7. Best Buy

Ticker: BBY

Industry: Consumer discretionary

Market cap: $20 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 14%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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6. Cisco Systems

6. Cisco Systems

Ticker: CSCO

Industry: Information technology

Market cap: $221 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 15%

Source: Goldman Sachs

5. CenturyLink

5. CenturyLink

Ticker: CTL

Industry: Communication services

Market cap: $24 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 15%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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4. Amgen

4. Amgen

Ticker: AMGN

Industry: Healthcare

Market cap: $132 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 15%

Source: Goldman Sachs

3. SL Green Realty

3. SL Green Realty

Ticker: SLG

Industry: Real estate

Market cap: $8 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 16%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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2. Marathon Petroleum

2. Marathon Petroleum

Ticker: MPC

Industry: Energy

Market cap: $59 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 16%

Source: Goldman Sachs

1. Sealed Air

1. Sealed Air

Ticker: SEE

Industry: Materials

Market cap: $6 billion

Trailing 12-month buyback + dividend yield: 18%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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