Here comes the Bank of Canada...

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Here comes the Bank of Canada...

Bank of Canada Poloz

REUTERS/Chris Wattie

Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz takes part in a news conference upon the release of the Monetary Policy Report in Ottawa January 21, 2015.

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  • The Bank of Canada is expected to hold its key rate steady at 1.5% on Wednesday.
  • The central bank has emphasized taking a gradual approach to raising rates.
  • The decision comes just as the trade officials restart talks on NAFTA, which President Donald Trump has threatened to exclude Canada from.
  • Watch the Canadian dollar trade in real time here.

The Bank of Canada is expected to hold rates steady at a policy meeting Wednesday as trade uncertainty threatens to dampen growth.

All but one of 31 economists polled by Reuters expect the central bank, which has emphasized a gradual approach to monetary policy, to leave its target for the overnight rate unchanged at 1.5%. It last raised its benchmark interest rate in July by a quarter percentage point, marking the fourth hike since last summer.

Stephen Brown, a senior economist at Capital Economics, noted a humming economy could embolden policymakers. Canada's economic growth accelerated in the second quarter at the fastest pace in a year, the national statistics agency said last week, driven by a sharp increase in exports and consumer spending.

"With the data surprising to the upside in recent months, Governor Stephen Poloz seems ready to act soon," Brown said.

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But at its last policy meeting, the BOC expressed concern about ongoing trade tensions between Canada and the US. President Donald Trump recently threatened to exclude Canada from a final NAFTA agreement and to impose tariffs on Canadian car imports to the US.

Negotiations are expected to restart in Washington on Wednesday, just after a US Commerce Department report showed the trade deficit with Canada jumped in July by about 58% to $3.1 billion. The trade deficit, which measures the difference between what the US buys and sells abroad, has been a source of frustration for Trump.

The Canadian dollar edged higher against the US dollar ahead of the rate decision.

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