The Steelers have won four straight games and come into this Thursday night matchup red hot. Both their losses this season so far have been at home, and it's tough to imagine them dropping a third in front of the Terrible Towels.
This is too many points for the Bears to lay. They've won two straight games, but they came against the Bills and the Jets, two of the worst teams in football right now. Take the Lions and hope Matthew Stafford can keep things close.
The loss of A.J. Green is huge for the Bengals' offense, but this is a classic let-down spot for the Saints after their huge win over the Rams last week. If we're trusting the underdogs to bark back this weekend, Cincinnati is the only side to play in this one.
Despite a poor start, the Falcons are now one of the hottest teams in football, and can't afford to lose another game in the race for a playoff spot in the NFC. The Browns are still a team that fired its head coach and offensive coordinator two weeks ago.
If I'm going to bounce back from a few bad weeks of bets, I have to stop going against the Patriots. It's been true for years, but I've finally accepted it.
Just a month ago, I would have guessed the Jaguars would be favored by at least a field goal in this game. Jacksonville is an absolute mess, but they're coming off a bye, and the idea that the Colts could be favored in any game still feels like a stretch.
Strictly on principle, when there is a line this long in an NFL game, you take the underdog. If you don't want the underdog, take your money elsewhere. It's just too many points.
As much as the Jets should not be favored by six over any team, I can't pass up another opportunity to bet against Nathan Peterman. We only have so many chances to do it left.
Washington is trending downward after their surprise jump to the top of the NFC East, and the Buccaneers keep proving that they can score points in large chunks quickly. If Tampa Bay can jump out to an early lead, this one could get ugly.
Too many points.
Also, too many points.
Okay, this one should be too many points as well, but the Rams are coming off their first loss of the season and almost got caught by the Seahawks the first time they met this season. Look for Sean McVay to pour it on in this one.
The Eagles are at home, coming off a bye, playing their most hated rival in primetime. It's a statement game for the defending champions — the first time since they've won their rings that they get to face the opponent that mocked their franchise's lack of titles for so long. Eagles in a rout.
The 49ers really seemed to rally around Nick Mullens after his standout debut last week, and against a struggling Giants team, it feels like they could do it again.