Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) over Kansas City Chiefs*
According to John Ewing of The Action Network, the Chiefs are 0-9 at home against the spread in the postseason since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger.
With Andrew Luck and the Colts arguably the hottest team in the NFL, there is no reason to think the trend ends this year.
Bet $110 to win $100
T.Y. Hilton longest reception Over 32.5 yards
T.Y. Hilton has had a reception of at least 34 yards in 10 of his past 11 games. Simply put, he's a big play machine, and with this game looking like a potential shootout, Hilton's a good bet to break free at least once.
Bet $57.50 to win $50
Tyreek Hill (+700) and T.Y. Hilton (+900) to score first touchdown
This is just a hunch, but the odds feel pretty good. Whichever team gets the ball first, it feels like they'll take a shot downfield early to try and get things going, and neither team's secondary is anything too special.
Bet $20 each to win $140 or $180
Los Angeles Rams* (-7) over Dallas Cowboys
The Rams learned the hard way last year that a brilliant regular season is all for naught if you can't take care of business at home in the playoffs.
After having last season's campaign cut short by the Falcons, expect Sean McVay to have the Rams fully prepared this week against the Cowboys.
Bet $110 to win $100
Todd Gurley's longest rush Over 19.5 yards
We haven't seen Todd Gurley in a few games, but he's reportedly 100% heading into Saturday's game. If he's on fresh legs, that gives the Rams all the more reason to ride him against the Cowboys.
Gurley is a strong enough runner that I'm confident he can break free once or twice over the course of 60 minutes, especially if the Rams start nursing a lead.
Bet $55 to win $50
Todd Gurley and Ezekiel Eliott BOTH score a touchdown (+140)
Both running backs are the centerpieces of their teams, and you can get slightly positive odds if you pair them together to both score a touchdown.
Bet $50 to win $70
Los Angeles Chargers (+4) over New England Patriots*
I know betting against New England is a loser's proposition, but it's tough to see where on the field the Patriots are decidedly better than the Chargers.
Los Angeles should have the advantage on offense, defense, and special teams, and while games in Foxboro are never fun, the Chargers have been road warriors all season, with only one loss all year away from home.
Bet $110 to win $100
Mike Williams Over 3 receptions
Mike Williams had at least three receptions in six of the Chargers final seven regular season games.
While he missed the mark last week, the Patriots defense is far less imposing than that of the Ravens, and the Chargers will be looking to the deep option a lot.
Bet $60 to win $50
Tom Brady Over 267.5 passing yards
Tom Brady hasn't thrown for less than 267 yards in a playoff game since 2014, meaning he's cleared the mark in nine straight postseason starts.
Even if the Patriots haven't had the best year, betting against Brady's arm in the playoffs feels like a mistake.
Bet $57.50 to win $50
Philadelphia Eagles (+8) over New Orleans Saints*
The Eagles got walloped the first time they met the Saints this season, but it's impossible to bet against Nick Foles right now. Go Birds.
Bet $110 to win $100
Eagles Over 9.5 first half points
The Eagles offense won't have the option of a slow start against the Saints if they have any hope of beating New Orleans, so while Foles didn't turn on his magic until late last week, I'm going to bet he gets hot right out of the gate on Sunday.
Bet $60 to win $50
