Delhi election opinion polls predict an Aam Aadmi Party win

Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal and Indian Prime Minister Narendra ModiBCCL/BI India

  • Times Now IPSOS and ABP News’ C-Voter pre-election polls predict a sweeping win for the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) for the Delhi Assembly election.
  • Times Now IPSOS predicts 54 to 60 seats for the AAP, while C-voter forecasts 42 to 56 seats in their favour.
  • BJP is set to come in second with a maximum of 14 seats expected to go their way.
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) hasn’t been in power in Delhi for over two decades and their luck seems unlikely to change according to pre-election opinion polls by ABP News and Times Now.

Both opinion polls predict that the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) will come out victorious during the Delhi Election 2020. ABP News’ C-Voter survey predicts that the Arvind Kejriwal-led political party won’t just lead by a small margin, but with a whopping majority bagging anywhere between 42 to 56 seats out of the grand total of 70.

The vote share will also skew in AAP’s favour with CVoter expecting 45.6% votes in their name. BJP, on the other hand, will only be able to capture 10 to 24 seats and pull 37.1% vote share.

Congress, Delhi’s former-favourite, is polling at the bottom of the barrel with polls expecting a maximum of four seats to their name.

Times Now’s IPSOS poll predicts a similar outcome with 54 to 60 seats going to the AAP and the remaining 10 to 14 seats going to the BJP. Accordingly, Congress is only expected to get 0-2 seats.

PartyNumber of seatsVoteshare
CVoterIPSOSCVoterIPSOS
AAP42-56 seats54-60 seats45.6%52%
BJP10-24 seats10-14 seats37.1%34%
Congress0-4 seats0-2 seats4.4%4%

Although the polls predict AAP to win, the seats under their wing are set to reduce. During the last Delhi Assembly election in 2015, AAP garnered 67 seats with the remaining 3 going to the BJP.

The BJP was hoping that the Shaheen Bagh protests would turn the tables in their favour by citing the city’s law and order problem. However, law and order is controlled by the central government and not the local administration.

"Your vote to BJP candidate will make Delhi and the country safe and prevent thousands of incidents like Shaheen Bagh. When you press the button (on EVM) on February 8, do so with such anger that its current is felt at Shaheen Bagh," said Union Minister Amit Shah at an election rally.

Kejriwal and other AAP members, on the other hand, have focused on day-to-day issues like electricity, education and water. "This is the first time that elections in Delhi have the chief minister asking citizens to cast their vote for him, only if they believe he’s done the work,” says Raghav Chaddha, AAP candidate running from Rajinder Nagar.

With only two days left until the polls, top leaders of all three political parties have been rushing to conduct last-minute campaigning hoping to change some minds.

See also:
Both BJP and AAP want votes from Delhi's 4 million slum dwellers for schemes that haven't taken off yet

Kejriwal may want Delhi to follow in Mumbai's footsteps — but quick gains from all-night shopping could cost the consumer

Arvind Kejriwal joins the battle for slum votes as he pegs his 'guarantee' against Modi's life-size persona
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