Shayanne Gal/Business Insider
Polls for the Florida Democratic presidential primary close at 7 p.m. Eastern time. We'll have live results and vote totals as they come in.
Florida Democratic primary results:
Catch up on live coverage from the primary:
While you're waiting for results to come in, check out what's going on in primaries elsewhere here.
Pre-primary:
- Going into Tuesday's primaries, former Vice President Joe Biden has won 864 pledged delegates to the Democratic convention in July, leading Sen. Bernie Sanders' 705. 1,991 delegates are needed to secure a majority and the nomination without a potentially contested convention.
- During Sunday night's debate, Biden pledged to select a woman as his running mate should he win the nomination.
- Biden's commanding lead in recent primaries suggests that the Democratic electorate is more focused on beating Trump than in Sanders' proposed ambitious democratic socialist platform.
- Tuesday's primaries come amid a growing coronavirus pandemic. Louisiana announced on Friday that it would be postponing the Democratic primary there, originally scheduled for April 4, for over two months.
What's at stake in the primary?
Florida has 219 pledged delegates on the table. Of those 219 pledged delegates, 143 are pledged proportionally to presidential contenders based on the results in each of Florida's 27 congressional districts, while 76 delegates are pledged based on the statewide primary vote.
Among the congressional districts, the biggest prizes are the 20th, 21st, and 22nd districts, with seven delegates up for grabs in each. The 20th district is a geographically large landmass located in southeast Florida, while the 21st and 22nd districts are clustered to its East. These three districts encompass Boca Raton, Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, Coral Springs, Palm Beach, West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, Delray Beach, and more.
As in most other states, candidates must earn over the minimum threshold of 15% of the vote in a given district or statewide to earn any delegates. While this was a major factor in earlier primaries when there were still several candidates in the running, now that the race has largely consolidated into a two-way affair between Biden and Sanders, the 15% threshold is likely to play a less important role in tonight's elections.
This is what the polling said ahead of the Florida primary:
According to Real Clear Politics' average of the latest polling data, Biden holds a clear lead in the state, with the intended support of 65.4% of voters to Sanders' 22.6%.
According to FiveThirtyEight's primary election forecast, Biden has a greater than 99% chance of winning the most votes in Florida. FiveThirtyEight projects that Biden's probable victory will likely translate into winning just more than two-thirds of the delegates up for grabs in the state and its congressional districts.