- The Democratic 2020 presidential field is set to be one of the largest, most competitive, and most unpredictable in modern history with 20 declared candidates so far.
- To help make sense of where all these candidates stand in the field, INSIDER has been conducting a recurring SurveyMonkey Audience national poll.
- We've combined INSIDER's polling and results of Morning Consult's daily survey of the 2020 Democratic primary in order to create a power ranking of declared and potential 2020 candidates.
- Here's what our power ranking looks like as of April 30, 2019.
- Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.
With 20 declared candidates in the race, the Democratic the 2020 presidential field is set to be one of the largest, most competitive, and most unpredictable in modern history.
To help make sense of where all these candidates stand in the field, INSIDER has been conducting a recurring SurveyMonkey Audience national poll. You can download every single poll here, down to the individual respondent data.
We choose not to focus on the overall percentage of Democratic voters that would be satisfied in the event a candidate became the nominee. Instead, we're looking for conditional probability: given that a voter likes Candidate A, how often do they like Candidate B, and how is that different than Candidate B's overall performance.
Read more about how the INSIDER 2020 Democratic primary tracker works.
At this point in the race, we're mainly interested in using our polling to figure out:
- What percentage of Democratic voters are familiar with each candidate in the first place.
- How Democrats rate each candidate's chances of beating President Donald Trump in a general election match-up.
- If a given candidate were to drop out of the race, who their supporters would flock to next.
We've combined INSIDER's polling and results of Morning Consult's daily survey of the 2020 Democratic primary in order to create a power ranking of declared and potential 2020 candidates.
These rankings will be subject to change as we get new information, but at this stage in the cycle, we're mainly interested in how a candidate's name is resonating and how many voters think they can beat Trump.
Here's what our ranking looks like as of April 30, 2019.