First, Shanahan is able to recognize that the Packers are in man coverage, with five players on the line of scrimmage. "Kyle Shanahan sees man coverage on the backend, but five guys across the line of scrimmage" Orlovsky explains. "But there's a difference — one guy has his hand in the ground, one guy doesn't. He's standing up. That's a trigger for Kyle."
Thanks to that tell, along with the positioning of the Packers middle linebacker, Shanahan knows the defender on the right edge standing up at the line of scrimmage will be responsible for guarding the running back coming out of the backfield.
Orlovsky continues: "The defense the Packers are running is a 'funnel' defense. It's a help defense. [The middle linebacker] has no one in man-to-man coverage responsibilities. He stays in the middle of the field, he reads the quarterback's eyes, and he helps on any in-breaking route. Kyle knows that."
Because the defenders on the outside know they have help from the linebacker with any action that moves to the inside of the field, they will do everything they can to keep outside leverage on their man.
The final key to Shanahan's prediction is a mantra Orlovsky says he coaches into his receivers: "Make your defender think he's won."
Rather than immediately break outside, Kittle instead first feints towards the center of the field, with Redmond holding his outside leverage with the knowledge that his middle linebacker is there to cover the inside.
When Kittle then changes course and breaks to the sideline, Redmond realizes he's on his own, and out of position. Knowing he needs to keep Kittle inside rather than let him break loose, Redmond grabs onto Kittle. When the ball is thrown, penalty flags from the referee follow shortly after.
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