Our 7 best bets for Week 7 of the college football season
Texas (+10.5) over Oklahoma
In recent years, the Red River Rivalry has been closely contested. A touchdown or less settled the last five meetings between Texas and Oklahoma. When the two teams met in a rematch at the Big 12 title game last year, the Sooners broke that streak with a 39-27 victory to avenge their loss earlier in the season.
This year, it feels like Texas should be overmatched, but that was true last year as well, and the Longhorns found a way to win the game outright. I don't know how the Texas offense will be able to keep pace with Jalen Hurts and the Sooners, but I have faith, and a 10-point cushion in case they can't.
Wisconsin* (-10.5) over Michigan State
Through one quarter last weekend, Michigan State looked ready to get locked into a defensive battle against Ohio State, only for the Buckeyes to tear off a 24-point second quarter.
This game feels like it plays out in a similar fashion, and I trust Wisconsin's offense to rip off a big play more than the Spartans.
Penn State (-3) over Iowa*
Penn State has battled its way to an undefeated start to the season that has already seen some more challenging games than expected. Iowa should be their toughest test yet, and the Hawkeyes are in a classic bounce-back spot that I would be eager to play if they were facing any other opponent after last week's loss to Michigan.
But the Nittany Lions feel like the stronger side, and the thought of a potential showdown between undefeated Penn State and Ohio State in the penultimate week of the season is so tantalizing I can't help but cheer for it.
Alabama (-17) over Texas A&M*
Alabama has beaten Texas A&M by 17 points or more in four of the past five years. The Aggies are no pushovers, but the Crimson Tide don't even have to dominate to find themselves up by three scores.
LSU* (-13.5) over Florida
ESPN's Chris "The Bear" Fallica has a great stat on this game. Dating back to 2010, the last 12 ranked teams to pull a home upset and face another ranked team as an underdog the following week were a terrible 1-11 straight up and 4-8 against the spread.
Last week, Florida upset Auburn at home in an emotional win. This week, they have to get fired up again to face an even tougher opponent. LSU has been throttling opponents all season, and quarterback Joe Burrow has emerged as a Heisman favorite. It was a good run for the Gators, but the Tigers are going to roll here.
USC (+10.5) over Notre Dame*
Notre Dame is coming up on a bye week, after which they'll have a marquee matchup against Michigan at the Big House. USC is coming off a frustrating loss to Washington in which quarterback Matt Fink threw three interceptions.
Look for Fink and the Trojans to regroup with a better offensive performance against an Irish side that might already have their minds on their upcoming vacation.
USF* (+5) over BYU
According to the Action Network, 72% of the bets on this game are on BYU, but USF is getting 65% of the money. That means the big money is backing the Bulls as home underdogs.
Following the money has been a trend that has paid off well for us so far this season, so we're going to trust the sharp money again this week and pick USF to find a way to cover.
Now check out our best bets for Week 6 of the NFL season...
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