TCS earnings, COVID-19 cases, foreign investment flows – here’s what will move Sensex and Nifty 50 this week

• Benchmark Nifty and Sensex surged by nearly 3% last week, ending up in the green for the third consecutive week.
• Positive global cues, news of a coronavirus vaccine going to trials in India and hopes of an economic recovery led to a positive sentiment in the market.
• This week, factors like earnings, COVID-19 cases, foreign investment flows are likely to have an impact on the market.

Nifty 50 closed above 10,500 last week, despite a wider range of 9,800-11,000, suggesting that the bulls dominated the market and the benchmark indices closed up 3% each.

It will be interesting to see if this trend continues this week and helps Nifty 50 draw closer to the 11,000 mark.

Tata Consultancy Services earnings

India’s largest IT services provider TCS is all set to announce its earnings on July 9 for the quarter ended in June.

COVID-19 cases

Rising COVID-19 cases continue to cast a shadow of doubt on Sensex and Nifty.

On the other hand, increasingly higher recovery rates could help reduce some of the fear.

Out of the nearly 7 lakh confirmed cases of COVID-19, nearly 1.5 lakh have come in the last week alone. Recovery rate, though, has increased to more than 60%.


Foreign investment flows

Foreign investment flows have remained volatile in June. After ploughing in over INR 20,000 crore in the first half of the month, foreign investors pulled out nearly 75% in the second half.

While domestic investors have come to the rescue in the last couple of weeks, pumping in as much money as the foreign investors took out, the rally may find it difficult to sustain if dollars don't return.

Macro-economic data

The May Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data will be released on July 10. The factory output measured by IIP contracted by over 55% year-on-year in April – the most since 1994, due to the nationwide lockdown which was in force throughout the month.

All eyes will be on the IIP data for May, but it’s worth noting that industries were allowed to work partially only in non-containment zones, so the factory output might still be low.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is also slated to announce foreign exchange (forex) reserves as of July 3. Currently, India’s forex reserves stand at $505 billion.

India-China border tensions

The market focus has moved away from the ongoing India-China border tensions, but investors should watch out for any sign of escalation.

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