The real threat to Facebook and Twitter isn't a pandemic or a president

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The real threat to Facebook and Twitter isn't a pandemic or a president
Samantha Lee/Business Insider

The real threat to Facebook and Twitter isn't a pandemic or a president
FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Trump departs on travel to Camp David from the South Lawn at the White House in WashingtonReuters

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Welcome back to Trending, where we read the tech leaves every Wednesday. I'm Alexei Oreskovic, Business Insider's West Coast Bureau Chief and Global Tech Editor. If you want to get Trending in your email inbox every week, just click here.

This week: The biggest threat to Facebook and Twitter

The real threat to Facebook and Twitter isn't a pandemic or a president
Phillip Faraone/Getty Images for WIRED25; Francois Mori/AP

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It feels like ages ago, when the coronavirus lockdowns began in March, that skepticism about social media screentime and digital health were summarily cast aside. Who's got time to worry about those kinds of things when you need a crucial lifeline to the outside world?

Since then — notwithstanding the Gen Zers who credit funny memes for giving them the strength to endure the crisis — our collective relapse into social media has come with harsh reminders of why we grew wary in the first place.

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On Wednesday, Facebook is holding its annual shareholder meeting (virtually) and Zuckerberg, who has spent the past few years promoting "time well spent" on the social network, will have to offer up some explanation for his company's apparent indifference and disdain for its professed values.

As far as business problems go right now, Zuckerberg's predicament may seem like a mere PR headache. Facebook's business, at least as of the end of April, was still relatively strong and enchanting investors. That's a much better place to be than federal bankruptcy court, where giant companies like Hertz, Gold's Gym and J. Crew are squaring off with creditors; And it's a lot easier than laying off thousands of employees, as General Electric, Uber, IBM and many more are doing.

But for social media services — whether it's Facebook, Twitter, or even YouTube — there's a festering problem within the business that's not reflected in income statements or balance sheet, and it's getting worse every day. Put simply: Social media services have absolutely no idea why they exist anymore other than to simply keep all the plates in the air.

Twitter used to brag about being the "free speech wing of the free speech party." You may or may not have admired it, but it was a principle employees and users could understand. Now Twitter is an ugly knot of contradictions and ineffective posturing that's left it in the humiliating position of getting publicly chastised by the very person it's contorted itself for.

YouTube, which has the power of Google's army of computer programmers and AI experts behind it, looks incompetent with each new colony of conspiracy videos discovered on its site. And Facebook looks even more brazen and unscrupulous at this point.

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This isn't a problem that's going to blow a hole in any of these businesses overnight. Facebook's family of apps has 3 billion users. It would be a remarkable feat to lose the trust of 3 billion people at once.

But the way it looks now, the biggest threat these businesses face isn't disruption by a new technology or competitor, or even by a regulator or a pandemic. The biggest threat is what the social media companies have done to themselves by disrupting their own sense of purpose.

Exodus, Silicon Valley

The real threat to Facebook and Twitter isn't a pandemic or a president
Krivosheev Vitaly/Shutterstock

Is Silicon Valley's reign as America's innovation capital over? It's one of the biggest questions being discussed in these parts after several big tech companies, including Facebook and Twitter, announced that employees will be free to work from anywhere.

How many employees pack up and relocate to a cozy mountain cabin or a tropical island is an open question, and there are good arguments why the exodus might not be as big as some people expect.

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But here are 3 reasons why, if nothing else, Silicon Valley is likely to see an influx of movement (both leaving and entering the region):

  1. Informal surveys indicate there's significant interest among Silicon Valley techies to relocate to greener pastures, even if moving means having their salaries "adjusted" to their new homes.
  2. There are lots of places in the US that are not San Francisco, New York, or Boston, that are attracting an increasing share of venture capital dollars.
  3. And there's a thriving generation of innovative, VC-backed startups creating tools to cater to remote workers.

Sound bite of the week:

"I have no idea why they don't publish articles. I have no idea why we haven't seen anything come out. I don't know why no one seems to know what they're working on doing. It all seems very contrary to the spirit of openness and transparency that advances science, but no, I don't get it; it's not how I envisioned it at all."

— Bill Maris, the founder of VC firm Section 32, discusses the state of affairs at Calico, a biotech company at Alphabet that he launched in 2013 while he was still at Google.

Recommended Readings:

$3 billion Carta slashed its revenue goal but kept hiring anyway, leading to massive layoffs in April. Insiders describe whiplash and organizational chaos as the company attempts an ambitious new pivot.

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While Marc Benioff may be avoiding 'major acquisitions,' here are 9 companies that experts think Salesforce could buy as the coronavirus crisis drives down valuations

Japanese tech giant NTT is making a $230 million bet on upending healthcare with 'digital twins,' an exact virtual replica of a person that can be used with AI to explore new treatments without risking the patient

Here's how note-taking app Evernote, once a high-flying unicorn startup, is 'going back to basics' by completely rebuilding its app to win back the skeptical users it lost

Microsoft just revealed its first industry-specific cloud for healthcare and recent hires hint which industries could be next

Not necessarily in tech:

Pay rifts, a partner divide, and a threat at the Ritz Carlton: 50 insiders reveal all on a massive shakeup at elite law firm Boies Schiller

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That's going to do it for this week. Thanks for reading, and remember, if you like this newsletter, tell your friends and colleagues they can sign up here to receive it.

— Alexei

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