These are the scenarios that scare fund managers the most
REUTERS/Grace Liang
Its 7% growth target is in jeopardy, stocks have crashed from May highs and imports are tanking.
But, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch's monthly fund survey, fewer people are worried about the chance of a recession plunging China into negative growth.
So-called China tail risk, which is the risk of something unexpectedly bad happening, has fallen from 54% to 39% between September and October.
While a Chinese recession is still top of the fear list, it's the biggest faller of the lot.
With Russia's military involvement in Syria, the risk of a geopolitical crisis has increased, according to the survey of more than 250 fund managers compiled by BAML's Michael Hartnett.
The chance of a debt crisis in emerging markets has also edged up, with a strong dollar making foreign debts harder to pay back for leveraged companies.
Here's the chart:
BAML
China is trying to rebalance its economy away from pure manufacturing to a domestic-demand led mix of activities. And it's working according to a note from Goldman Sachs analysing the demand for things like petrol and coffee.
While there's a bit more optimism over China, the same can't be said for the world economy as a whole. Fund managers are at their most pessimistic since 2012:
BAML
- I quit McKinsey after 1.5 years. I was making over $200k but my mental health was shattered.
- Some Tesla factory workers realized they were laid off when security scanned their badges and sent them back on shuttles, sources say
- I tutor the children of some of Dubai's richest people. One of them paid me $3,000 to do his homework.
- Why are so many elite coaches moving to Western countries?
- Global GDP to face a 19% decline by 2050 due to climate change, study projects
- 5 things to keep in mind before taking a personal loan
- Markets face heavy fluctuations; settle lower taking downtrend to 4th day
- Move over Bollywood, audio shows are starting to enter the coveted ‘100 Crores Club’