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The creator of a famed recession indicator says the Fed is 'playing with fire' by not cutting rates now

A labor-tracking recession gauge is nearing its threshold, and the Fed needs to cut now to stop it.

Filip De Mott   


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1 min read

The Fed could tip the US into recession if it waits too long to cut rates, Mohamed El-Erian says

The longer the Fed waits to start lowering rates, the more catchup it'll have to play later, which …

Filip De Mott   


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The booming private credit market has delayed a recession, but the US is still at risk of a sharp downturn, chief strategist says

"We have widely incomplete data. The vast majority of the time in the last year it's been negativel…

Matthew Fox   


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Recession seems almost certain with 19 states in trouble already, expert warns

A top economist, Nancy Lazar, expects stricter bank lending and steeper interest rates to crush gro…

Theron Mohamed   


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These 3 metro regions still haven't recovered from the pandemic recession

"Many of the places that have not regained the jobs lost were hit particularly hard by the pandemic…

Filip De Mott   


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2 mins read

People are delaying buying new cars, creating a deflationary 'spiral' that's bad news for the auto industry

Delayed vehicle purchases could lead to a "deflationary spiral" and recession for the auto industry…

Nora Naughton   


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1 min read

Stocks' bull run will end in a bubble or recession, says Bank of America strategist

Stocks are in a "late secular bull market" that's likely to end in tears, Bank of America's Michael…

George Glover   


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Why the next US recession may be pushed back to 2025, according to JPMorgan

JPMorgan said strong factory data "contributes additional evidence on the global recovery in manufa…

Matthew Fox   


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The Fed will spark an economic crash by delaying rate cuts, State Street equity research chief says

"We increasingly begin to hear about things breaking down," State Street's Marija Veitmane said.

Jennifer Sor   


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'Something could break': The Fed risks recession, bank failures if it doesn't cut rates soon, economist Mark Zandi says

High interest rates are "corrosive" to the economy, and the Fed risks breaking something in the fin…

Jennifer Sor   


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Slashing interest rates won't reignite inflation - and delaying could spark a recession, Nobel economist Paul Krugman says

Paul Krugman says the pandemic and Russia-Ukraine war stoked inflation, so cutting interest rates w…

Theron Mohamed   


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4 mins read

The ‘Godot’ recession could be pushed back further, SVB crisis could force US Fed to pause rate hikes

The Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) crisis coupled with robust economic performance around the world desp…

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3 mins read

The job market looks rock-solid, but there are 4 signs it's weakening as labor trends mirror past recessions

The job market is flashing signals of weakness, some of which look dangerously similar to past rece…

Jennifer Sor   


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2 mins read

JPMorgan warns of a growing disconnect between continued stock gains and delayed rate cuts

"Equities are ignoring the most recent pivot of a pivot, which might be a mistake," JPMorgan's anal…

Yuheng Zhan   


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'Something very strange' explains why a US recession has been delayed

"Interest rates simply aren't working as they once did. It is indeed a mad, mad world," said Societ…

Matthew Fox   


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2 mins read

'Something very strange' explains why a US recession has been delayed

"Interest rates simply aren't working as they once did. It is indeed a mad, mad world," said Societ…

Matthew Fox   


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1 min read

The yield curve has been inverted for 18 months without a downturn - but the famed indicator isn't wrong, and a recession is near, strategist says

The inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1955, and this time won't be different…

Jennifer Sor   


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Nearly everyone has given up on their recession call, and that makes the outlook 'dangerously reminiscent' of 2007, SocGen says

Recession views feel dangerously similar to those prior to the 2008 crisis, as consensus shifts to …

Jennifer Sor   


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A famed recession indicator is flashing red even as financial markets price in zero chance of a downturn in the coming year, economist says

A highly accurate recession indicator is flashing the same warning it did prior to the 2001, 2008, …

Jennifer Sor   


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Stock market today: US futures rise as investors shrug off inflation and recession fears

US stock futures climbed on Thursday as Wall Street brushed off stubborn inflation and the news tha…

Theron Mohamed