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2 mins read

A recession indicator with a perfect track record has started flashing this week

Since 1976, every recession has been preceded by a disinversion of the yield curve, according to In…

Matthew Fox   


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1 min read

It's time to sell US Treasurys after an 'excessive' bond-market rally, Barclays says

A resilient US economy means the case for a "meaningful easing cycle" has weakened. Barclays expect…

Aruni Soni   


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3 mins read

The 4 forces that will challenge the dominance of the dollar, according to economic researchers

The dollar's dominance in financial markets has slipped, with the greenback accounting for less tha…

Jennifer Sor   


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1 min read

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway now owns more short-term Treasurys than the Fed

Berkshire Hathaway stands to gain about $12 billion in annual interest from its $235 billion in T-B…

Matthew Fox   


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The global 'carry trade' is unwinding. Here's why it's a brutal force crushing stocks worldwide.

The yen carry trade refers to investors borrowing money at near-zero interest rates in Japan and th…

Matthew Fox   


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Stock market today: Indexes tank after weak jobs report sparks panic

The Nasdaq 100 entered correction territory and the VIX spiked as much as 60% to hit its highest le…

Matthew Fox   


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Stock market today: US indexes extend plunge after surprise unemployment spike and jobs miss

Capital Economics said the weak July jobs report could lead to a surprise interest rate cut from th…

Matthew Fox   


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'Big Short' investors are bullish on gold because money is devaluing too quickly

Two investors of the "Big Short" say they've bought "almost every dip" in gold over the past four y…

Jennifer Sor   


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The decline in China's US Treasury holdings isn't as big as it seems

"Although China's holdings of US debt are down, after some adjustments, it's a lot less than the he…

Matthew Fox   


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4 bullish signals are pointing to more stock gains ahead, according to Bank of America

"Rotation, which is the lifeblood of a bull market, suggest that the SPX hit last week's highs from…

Matthew Fox   


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These 2 key metrics will signal whether small, unloved stocks will continue to beat the market, BofA says

Can the recent outperformance of small-cap stocks continue? BofA is looking at two distinct thresho…

Filip De Mott   


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3 mins read

Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race spells uncertainty for the 'Trump trade'

Investors had positioned themselves for the so-called "Trump trade" following the failed assassinat…

Huileng Tan   


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Stock investors are staring down a bearish trifecta that could spark a 12% market drop by October, strategist says

Signs of a "substantial" stock correction are already in full-swing, one longtime strategist told B…

Jennifer Sor   


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PIMCO economist says fears of a US debt crisis are overblown - for now

"Previous episodes when federal interest payments (as a proportion of total outlays) reached simila…

Filip De Mott   


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The 'Trump trade' is winding down, and the Fed's rate plans are back in focus

UBS analysts advised investors to think interest rates and tech, not politics.

Huileng Tan   


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1 min read

The rout in US Treasurys is now the worst bond bear market of all time

Yields have spiked toward 5% in recent weeks, with investors fretting about the Federal Reserve's w…

George Glover   


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US Treasury signals year-end bond supply will be lower than forecast, but an uptick is ahead

The Treasury announced quarterly borrowing plans that were $76 billion below prior estimates, but i…

Filip De Mott   


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2 mins read

An ultra-safe corner of the commercial real estate debt market is seeing losses as the sector struggles

Commercial mortgage bonds backed by high-quality properties are showing signs of distress as the ma…

Jennifer Sor   


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Stock market today: Dow closes at a record as market bets on Trump after assassination attempt

Investors betting on a second Trump presidency expect an easier regulatory environment and more cor…

Matthew Fox   


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Stock market today: Stocks rise as Trump bets rally after failed assassination attempt

Treasury yields moved higher on Monday as investors bet on higher inflation under a potential reele…

Matthew Fox