Polls show Brexit regret so is so strong that 'Remain' would win a second referendum by 9 points
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Associated Press
Theresa May and Jean-Claude Juncker.
January marked the 18th straight month that a majority of British people, when asked by YouGov, responded that the 2016 vote to leave the European Union was "wrong." There is now a nine-point majority (i.e. 54-45, without "don't know") who believe the vote to leave the European Union was a mistake. It's the biggest majority against Brexit since the poll was instigated.
Pantheon Macroeconomics
Morgan Stanley
The opposition Labour party refuses to support the deal which the prime minister has negotiated with Brussels, even though leader Jeremy Corbyn personally favours Brexit and the party's official position is to leave the EU.
The increasing majority of Brits who want to remain in Europe are unrepresented in parliament, except by a few dozen "rebel" Labour MPs, MPs in small anti-Brexit opposition parties, and the newly-formed Independent Group.In that context, it is perhaps unsurprising that that voter preferences for both Conservative and Labour have fallen between three and five points over the past year, according to a running average of the last 10 polls collated by Pantheon Macroeconomics.Pantheon Macroeconomics
Morgan Stanley analysts Jacob Nell and Bruna Skarica think Brexit will be delayed. "Brexit on March 29 [is] no longer plausible, we think," they told clients in a recent note seen by Business Insider.
"We see an extension to end-June as straightforward. Longer extensions are more complex, as they require a workaround to ensure UK representation in the new European Parliament which takes its seats on July 2. So, while a longer extension is possible, and likely in some circumstances, e.g., if the UK decides to hold a second referendum, which can take 21 weeks according to one respected thinktank, we have made a three-month extension our base case for now."Our Brexit Insider Facebook group is the best place for up-to-date news and analysis about Britain's departure from the EU, direct from Business Insider's political reporters. Join here.
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