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Oops.
First, here's what we know: The website for completing the census digitally went offline for several hours on Tuesday after technical issues.
But we don't know what actually happened.
$4 - which is believed to have stopped millions from completing the census - on the work of hackers, specifically a DDoS.
DDoS stands for Distributed Denial of Service attack, and it is where an attacker (or attackers) floods the target with malicious traffic from numerous sources - ultimately overwhelming it and crashing it.
"What you saw was the denial of service attack or a denial of service attempt which, as you know, is designed to prevent access to a website as opposed to getting into the server behind it. Some of those defences failed, frankly," Turnbull said - but he claims no Australians' data has been accessed or stolen by the alleged attackers.
Meanwhile, the Australian Bureau of Statistics' Chief Statistician $4 "overseas."
But not everyone is convinced by this explanation.
A digital attack map that maps DDoS activity around the world does not show unusual activity in Australia during the purported attacks - suggesting that more prosaic technical reasons may be behind the failure. $4 that "if this was a DDoS and not just rubbish capacity planning for a rendezvous condition [everyone doing the same thing at once on a website], I'll eat my hat."
The alternate theory, then, is that it wasn't attacked - but that the infrastructure put in place was simply inadequate for the incoming traffic. Or perhaps some combination of the two - a non-exceptional DDoS attack was exacerbated by poor technical planning. ($4 "confluence of events.")
Analysis from trusted source of trusted source. Someone's getting fired. I'm a fucking journo and I'm not this dumb: $4
- Patrick Gray (@riskybusiness) $4
Whatever the ultimate explanation for the outage, it's an embarrassing episode for the Australian government - $4.