Cricket World Cup 2019: Minimum run rate needed on every ground Team India is playing on

Jonny Bairstow’s electrifying 128 and Jason Roy’s feisty 71 highlighted England’s successful 359-run chase against Pakistan-- that too, in just 44.5 overs -- in the third one day international (ODI) on Bristol on May 15. But this would hardly be a surprise if we consider the recent ODI scores in England and Wales.

Assuming that the world’s batting superstars are able to match their English counterparts (Joe Root, Jonny Bairstow, Eoin Morgan, Jason Roy, Jos Buttler, and Ben Stokes), the 2019 World Cup promises to be a high-scoring tournament.

Average scores in ODIs in England & Wales

Average scores2016201720182019
First innings297274.9299.75355.5*
Second innings259.22229.22256339.5

Note*: Only five ODIs have been hosted in England and Wales in 2019, of which one was abandoned.

300+ does not guarantee victory

In the past two years (May 2017 onwards), the teams batting first have scored in excess of 300 runs on 17 occasions. This has resulted in 11 victories – a win percentage of 64.7%. What is ominous is that England has won 5 out of the 6 matches where teams have successfully chased down 300 or more. The other successful chase was Sri Lanka’s stunning victory over India in the 2017 Champions Trophy.

England’s 300+ chases at home – May 2017 onwards:

DateScore
June 1, 2017 308/2 vs Bangladesh
Sep 27, 2017 258/5 (via Duckworth/Louis method) chasing West Indies’ 356/5
June 21, 2018314/8 vs Australia
May 14, 2019 359/5 vs Pakistan
May 17, 2019 341/7 vs Pakistan

A World Record in Trent Bridge

On June 19, 2018, England bludgeoned Australia’s inexperienced bowling attack to amass a world-record score of 481/6 during their 242-run win in the 3rd ODI in Trent Bridge, Nottingham. The batting blitz was led by Jonny Bairstow, who scored 147 and 139 respectively (each of them faced 92 balls), followed by opener Alex Hales, who made a 61-ball 82, and Eion Morgan, who smashed 6 sixes and 3 fours for his 30-ball 67. Unfortunately, England will not have the services of Alex Hales during the World Cup (who was withdrawn from the squad for recreational drug use) if they aim to better this effort.

High-scoring venues

The most batting friendly pitches (based on runs per over) in England are as follows:

GroundCityMatchesRuns per over (since May 2017)Team India’s league stage matches in the 2019 World Cup
Country GroundBristol27.23
Trent BridgeNottingham47.02June 13 – New Zealand
The Rose BowlSouthampton36.85June 5 – South Africa June 22 – Afghanistan
Riverside GroundChester-le-Street16.59
HeadingleyLeeds36.18July 6 – Sri Lanka
Kennington OvalLondon95.70June 9 - Australia
EdgbastonBirmingham55.62June 30 – England July 2 – Bangladesh
Sophia GardensCardiff55.55
Lord’sLondon25.41
Old TraffordManchester25.30June 16 – Pakistan;June 27 – West Indies


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