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Texas Roadhouse, Olive Garden, and other casual chains benefit from independent restaurant closures of the last year

Mary Meisenzahl   

Texas Roadhouse, Olive Garden, and other casual chains benefit from independent restaurant closures of the last year
  • Casual restaurant chain sales are booming well above 2019 levels.
  • More than 10% of all US restaurants closed since the beginning of the pandemic, many independent.

A major slice of the restaurant industry closed permanently in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and dining room closures, and it's led to an unexpected boost for casual dining chains like Texas Roadhouse, Olive Garden, and The Cheesecake Factory.

Official counts vary, but experts agree that $4 since the pandemic hit in spring 2020, with some counts as $4. Even on the lower end, 10% of restaurants mean that $4permanently as of March 2021, according to Dataessential. The National Restaurant Association says more than $4, after being in business for 16 years on average.

Large chains generally have access to more resources and money, and have weathered the pandemic better than independent restaurants, $4 Quick-service fast-food chains, like McDonald's and Starbucks, did better than other sectors of the restaurant industry, in part due to their ability to keep business going during dining room closures with $4

Independently owned "mom and pop" restaurants, $4 before the pandemic, were at particular risk of closure within the industry. Now that many of them are gone, casual chain restaurants are thriving in the less competitive environment, Kalinowski Equity Research founder Mark Kalinowski told Insider. Most of the closures of the past 18 months were "skewed toward independent mom and pops, mostly in casual dining and full service," he said.

Now, there is "meaningfully less competition for larger chain casual diners," Kalinowski said.

Sales are booming for the casual dining chains that have managed to stay open. At Texas Roadhouse, $4, which was of course low because of COVID-19, but they're also up 21.3% over 2019 levels. $4, $4, indicating more customers are visiting the chain and are spending more money. $4, parent company Darden reported in its most recent earnings call, and monthly visits have been hovering around 2019 levels and even surpassing them. Other casual chains including $4 and Longhorn Steakhouse are seeing similar bumps in sales.

The return to casual dining is impressive given headlines over the last decade proclaiming the $4 and millennials$4 For a time, the growth of fast-casual chains like Panera and Chipotle seemed like they might strike the final blow on casual chains, but like many industries, COVID-19 and its impacts have changed trajectories.

Now with the $4 of the $4, casual dining has another chance.

Do you have a story to share about a retail or restaurant chain? Email this reporter at mmeisenzahl@businessinsider.com.

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