Analysts remain optimistic about India’s top 100 stocks: Most popular 5 stocks deliver double digit returns

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Analysts remain optimistic about India’s top 100 stocks: Most popular 5 stocks deliver double digit returns
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  • Of these 100 stocks, the top five most popular stocks are covered by at least 50 analysts and have delivered returns in the range of 15% to 40% in the last one year.
  • ICICI Bank, Maruti Suzuki and Bajaj Auto are amongst the most-covered stocks.
  • Majority ‘buy’ calls are for stocks like Hindalco Industries, Adani Ports & SEZ and State Bank of India.
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While India’s corporate earnings performance in the December 2022 quarter was muted and largely below market expectations, analysts have remained largely bullish on the top 100 stocks by market capitalisation. The ‘buy’ recommendations of analysts on these stocks has moderated only marginally to 71% in March 2023 from 73% a year ago, according to an analysis by Motilal Oswal.

India Inc’s Q3 was muted due to inflation and other macroeconomic headwinds, according to the brokerage. Also, Indian equities’ outperformance against the global indices that was witnessed in 2022 has been wiped out as massive selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) took a toll amid macro headwinds and weak demand environment.

“Impaired by relatively muted corporate earnings season and severe FII selling ($2.5 billion current year till date), India’s sharp outperformance in 2022 has started fading CYTD,” the report said.

In 2022, the Sensex rose 4.4% while the major global indices were down 8-33%.

However, there has been a reversal in 2023. The Sensex has tanked more than 5% while global market indices have risen. The Nasdaq Composite has surged nearly 8%, China’s SSE Composite Index has gained 4% and Japan’s Nikkei has gone up nearly 6%, among others.

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Amidst the volatile market conditions, a report by Motilal Oswal has examined the popularity and performance of the top 100 stocks by market capitalisation. Some of the interesting findings include the fact that Zomato and Nykaa are among stocks with the most upside estimated by brokerages. These 100 stocks are notable since they account for 68% of the total market capitalisation of India’s equity markets.

Most and least covered stocks



The most-tracked stocks with coverage by more than 10 analysts include large cap stocks like ICICI Bank, Maruti Suzuki, Bajaj Auto, Axis Bank and IndusInd Bank. On the other hand, Hindustan Aeronautics, Abbott India, Max Healthcare, JSW Energy and Yes Bank were stocks that are least covered by analysts.

The top five most popular stocks have been covered by at least 50 analysts and have delivered returns in the range of 15% to 40% in the last one year.

Most popular stocks with ‘Buy’ ratingAnalyst coverage1yr perfLeast popular stocks with ‘Buy’ ratingAnalyst coverage1yr perf
ICICI Bank5331%Hindustan Aeronautics10116%
Maruti Suzuki5228%Abbott India1016%
Bajaj Auto5115%Max Healthcare1028%
Axis Bank5128%JSW Energy11-7%
IndusInd Bank5140%Yes Bank1431%

In terms of sectoral preference, capital goods, private and public sector banks, healthcare and real estate have seen their preference increase between 4% to 11%.
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Stocks with most and least ‘buy’ ratings



The stocks with the most ‘buy’ ratings include India’s biggest aluminium producer Hindalco Industries, India’s largest commercial ports operator Adani Ports and SEZ, India’s largest public sector bank State Bank of India and engineering giant Larsen and Toubro.

Stocks with most ‘Buy’ ratings‘Buy’ ratingsStocks with least ‘Buy’ ratings‘Buy’ ratings
Hindalco Industries100%Yes Bank7%
Adani Ports & SEZ100%JSW Energy9%
Max Healthcare100%JSW Steel19%
SBI98%Divi's Laboratories20%
L&T98%Hindustan Zinc20%

Buy ratings is computed as a percentage of the total ratings given by analysts for a particular stock. For example, a stock with 100% buy rating means that all analysts covering the stock have a ‘buy’ rating on it.

Stocks with most upside and downside



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Overall, according to consensus target prices for the top 100 stocks examined by Motilal Oswal, the potential upside is at 17%.

UPL, Zomato, SBI Life Insurance, LIC and Nykaa are among stocks with the most upside estimated by brokerages. Meanwhile, JSW Energy, Shree Cement, ABB, Cummins India and Berger Paints are among stocks that analysts feel could fall in the future.

Stocks with most upsideUpside %Stocks with most downsideDownside %
UPL42%JSW Energy-23%
Zomato39%Shree Cement-10%
SBI Life Insurance38%ABB-5%
LIC36%Cummins India-4%
Nykaa35%Berger Paints-3%

Best- and worst-performing stocks in the last one year



Varun Beverages, Hindustan Aeronautics and TVS Motor are stocks that gave multibagger returns to investors in the last one year.

On the other hand, Falguni Nayar-owned FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa), IT major Wipro, pharma major Divi’s Laboratories and insurance behemoth LIC are stocks that delivered poor returns to investors.
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Overall, the most popular stocks have delivered double-digit returns and beat the benchmark Nifty50 between 5x to 12x. While 2023 so far has seen Nifty50 decline, analysts remain largely bullish on the prospects of the top 100 stocks.

Best performers1yr perfWorst performers1yr perf
Varun Beverages122%Nykaa-36%
Hindustan Aeronautics116%Wipro-33%
TVS Motor107%Divi's Lab-32%
M&M84%Hindalco Industries-31%
Bank of Baroda79%LIC-31%

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