Warren Buffett plowed $2.1 billion into Bank of America in 12 days. Experts warn it could be years before he sees a return.
Warren Buffettbought $2.1 billion worth of Bank of Americastock over 12 straight trading days.
- It could be years before the billionaire investor and
Berkshire Hathawaychief sees a material return, experts said on Wednesday.
- "He could buy it for another 12 days, he can't really fix the headwinds that are challenging the banks," CNBC contributor Joe Terranova said on "Halftime Report."
- However, Wells Fargo analyst Mike Mayo said on CNBC's "Trading Nation" that Buffett is "on the right track" as bank
stockscould rebound 50% over the next 18 to 24 months.
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Terranova flagged the bank's significant exposure to consumers through its retail-banking arm, as well as its slimmer trading revenues relative to peers, as downsides to the stock.Read More: Morgan Stanley's top auto analyst told us why space investing is in danger of dot-com-style hysteria — and shared his best ideas for profiting from the booming theme
Berkshire is Bank of America's biggest shareholder, and Bank of America is the second-largest holding in the company's stock portfolio after Apple.Bank of America's interest income is also under threat from the Federal Reserve's unprecedented efforts to shore up the US economy, Stephen Weiss, managing partner of Short Hills Capital Partners, said on the program. "The Fed's out there saying 'we're gonna adjust our inflation target' — you're gonna see low rates for a very, very long time," he said.
"There's a new valuation normal for bank stocks and I think you're at it right now," Weiss added.
Bank of America shares are down around 29% this year, and trade at about 9 times the bank's earnings per share last year.The prospects for banking stocks are inextricably tied to the broader health of the US economy, Brenda Vingiello, investment chief of Sand Hill Global Advisors, said on "Halftime Report."
"I don't think we're really gonna see any real traction in this group until we start to see more of an economic recovery scenario playing out that involves interest rates moving higher," she said.
Sarat Sethi, managing partner at Douglas C Lane & Associates and a Bank of America shareholder, was more positive about Buffett's latest bet.The bank is "in a great place" and its shares are "trading at a very cheap value," he said on the program.
Read More: 100 deals and $1 million in profit a year: Here's how Mike Simmons made a simple change to his real-estate investing strategy that took him from small-time house flipper to full-fledged mogulWells Fargo analyst Mike Mayo was even more bullish on CNBC's "Trading Nation" on Wednesday.
"We think that bank stocks have the potential to increase by 50% over the next 18 to 24 months," he said, adding that Buffett is "on the right track" with his Bank of America purchases.The coronavirus pandemic has led to America's biggest banks suffering their steepest declines in net interest margin, traditional banking revenues, and total revenues in a century, Mayo said. However, they are also grabbing market share in areas such as digital banking, and their scale allows them to control expenses better than smaller rivals, he continued.
"The foundations are strong and earnings could be like a coiled spring if and when you have more of a positive light on the economy or a vaccine," Mayo added.
Here's a chart showing Buffett's purchases of Bank of America stock and the bank's stock price in recent days:
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