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<ul><li><strong>The erratic monsoon along with water crisis and floods across the country has hit the Kharif crops badly. <br /></strong></li><li><strong>According to the IMD forecast, India is going to receive below normal rainfall this year. <br /></strong></li><li><strong>The affected crops would be rice, food grains, oilseeds, and pulses, as their plantation are significantly low.</strong></li></ul>This year, the monsoons were thought to be too little, too late. It might not be too little as the monsoon could be termed normal in August, <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/news/bill-to-make-india-arbitration-hub-get-parliamentary-nod/articleshow/70491513.cms">expects </a>The India Meteorological Department. <br /><br />Yet, the damage is already done. <br /><br />The erratic monsoon along with water crisis and floods across the country, has hit the Kharif crops badly. <br /><br />According to the IMD forecast, India is going to receive below than normal rainfall this year. In fact, the monsoon started with a delay of a week. However, it was above 4.6% normal in July. Most parts received more than 42% rainfall than normal in the last seven days of July. <br /><br />The affected crops would be rice, food grains, oilseeds, and pulses, as their plantation are significantly low. Farmers could sow only around 304 lakh hectares of total foodgrains up to 19 July. This is 57 lakh hectare lower than the corresponding week. As of now, India is staring at high food inflation. <br /><br />“The retail inflation in the food components for June 2019 has risen to 13-months high and weak progress going ahead could push food inflation higher. Also, wholesale food inflation (YoY) for June 2019 continues to remain high at close to 7%,” according to Credit Rating Agency, CARE.<br /><br />But there are a few chances of a turnaround. The southwest monsoon, which is below last year's average, has started picking up. Farmers are now staring eagerly at the skies to plant their kharif crops albeit late, if there is a good spell of rain. <br /><br />Monsoon is a key driver of agriculture in India, as it depends on it for water needs. India's monsoon accounts for 70% of the annual rainfall. This year, the rains were 19% lower than the average rainfall of 384.7 mm during the same period last year. <br /><br />The government is doing its part to support farmers. It is increasing the Minimum Support Price (MSP) for notified Kharif crops. <br /><br /><strong>Pulsating effect </strong><br /><br />The possibility of increased food inflation couldn’t have come at a bad time. Last week, the wholesale prices of pulses have gone up by 4-5%. The retail market will remain unaffected so far.<br /><br />The Food Ministry has created a buffer stock of 'arhar' ('tur' or pigeon pea) of 14 lakh tonnes. While the National Agricultural Cooperative Marketing Federation (NAFED) has stored 20 lakh tonnes, which is a key part of India’s ‘square meals’.<br /><br />The government also increased the minimum support price of Tur dal by Rs 125 to Rs 5,800 per quintal in the first week of July. Similarly, the guaranteed remuneration for 'moong' and 'urad' was hiked also hiked by ₹75 to Rs 7,050 per quintal and by Rs 100 to Rs 5,700 per quintal, respectively.<br /><br />See also: <br /><a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/india-monsoon-rains-seen-below-normal-this-year-skymet-2019-4?IR=T">India monsoon rains seen below normal this year: Skymet</a><br /><a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/indias-monsoon-rains-35-below-average-this-week-weather-office-2019-7?IR=T">India's monsoon rains 35% below average this week - weather office</a><br />

Here is how slow monsoons might make your daal and roti costly

<p><div class="KonaFilter image-container display-table float_right"><div><div class="image on-image"><p class="source"><span><a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/gsfc/21677005189/in/photolist-z2wjqM-bft51a-c1fjXL-z2jMdY-wcJcU7-ck3CWy-zjUnrH-4s6AW3-6Dgdd3-vXqT67-ykJJyg-z173BX-z1716z-wftMVa-zfdjeu-zhBMGM-ykJK4z-zeu9bh-wf3zQc-vXqKNQ-vibdxp-2ShocW-2ScYR8-2Sho6W-vXqQBu-vib8fF-weowoW-wcJcaS-vXqH4b-weozbj-wftFgt-vi2maN-wcJbfW-vXy6vc-weox8w-weoyro-vibc42-weovfy-wcJ8Jd-vi2hPE-vXy4fF-vXqJxJ-vXqFsA-vXy7ma-vXy5v6-wftJhZ-vXqMTo-wf3uYt-vXy8g6-vXy4ZB">NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/flickr</a></span></p><p class="caption">Last year's Hurricane Joaquin as seen from space.</p></div><p></p></div></div>Hurricane season is right around the corner, and we could be seeing more hurricanes this year than we have in the past few years.</p><p>Starting June 1, we'll officially be in the five-month period where hurricanes are most likely to happen in the Atlantic Ocean. </p><p>The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration expects a "near-normal" hurricane season with about 10-16 named storms (this includes everything from tropical storms to hurricanes traveling faster than 150 miles per hour). That "near-normal" prediction would mean there could me more hurricanes in the Atlantic this year than there have been the past few, which were considered "below normal."</p><p>Here are the names you can expect to see in the coming months:</p><p><div class="KonaFilter image-container display-table"><div><div class="image on-image"><p class="source"><span>NOAA</span></p></div><p></p></div></div></p><p>Still, the NOAA expressed a lot of uncertainty in their predictions.</p><p><span>"This is a more challenging hurricane season outlook than most because it's difficult to determine whether there will be reinforcing or competing climate influences on tropical storm development," <span>Gerry Bell, the lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at the NOAA said in a statement. </span></span></p><p><span><span>It will depend a lot on <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/la-nina-is-coming-2016-4">how the La Niña</a> weather pattern plays out, if it materializes at all. Right now, the NOAA is on a La Niña watch.</span></span></p><p><span><span><span>Elsewhere, the central basin of the Pacific Ocean is looking at a 40% chance of having either a near-normal or above normal season and is looking at about 4-7 tropical cyclones, while the eastern basin has a 40% chance of near-normal and 30% chance of below normal with about 13-20 storms.</span></span></span></p>    <div class="margin-top">        <h3>NOW WATCH: <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/what-existed-before-the-big-bang-2016-5">The Big Bang is not the beginning of our universe - it's actually the end of something else entirely</a></h3>        <div>            <div>        <div class="ooyala-video-player" data-video-autoplay="false" data-video-id="sxNGZoMzE6Spo9NwxNCUJiR64jyOT6kW" data-player-variable="ooyalapopvideo" id="ooyalaplayer_popvideo" style="width:1280px;height:720px"></div>        </div>        </div>            </div>

Hurricane season is right around the corner - here's what to expect

<p><div class="KonaFilter image-container full"><div class="image"><p class="source"><span><a href="http://graphical.weather.gov/#">National Weather Service</a></span></p><p class="caption">Record-cold temperatures will return to the central and eastern United States by Tuesday night.</p></div><p></p></div>After a relatively mild weekend that had many in the Northeast thinking that Spring had finally sprung, the dreaded polar vortex is expected to return this week, bringing colder than normal temperatures to the central and eastern United States through the start of the work week, the <a href="http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdspd" target="_blank">National Weather Service warned on Monday</a>.</p>
<p>"A cold mass of arctic air will bring temperatures that are 10 to 30 degrees below normal across the northern third of the U.S. on Monday," the weather service said.</p>
<p>The upper Midwest will be hardest hit, with temperatures of 20 to 40 degrees below normal for this time of year.</p>
<p>By Tuesday night, many eastern states should be feeling the cold, which the Climate Prediction Center says expected to last into the first week of March, <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2014/02/23/polar-vortex-winter-cold-weather/5758619/" target="_blank">according to USA Today</a>.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/what-is-a-polar-vortex-2014-1" target="_blank">polar vortex</a> first made headlines in early January when it brought tundra-like temperatures to huge parts of the nation. This weather phenomenon is caused when a huge mass of very cold air - normally trapped over the North Pole by spinning winds - splits apart and and plunges toward the equator, bringing a blast of freezing air down through northern Canada and into the the United States.</p>

Another Polar Vortex Is Coming To The East Coast

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The US Transportation Security Administration screened over 2.5 million air travelers on Sunday.</li><li>The week's numbers still lag behind 2019 passenger volumes, and high airfares and inflation may be to blame.</li></ul><p>The Thanksgiving holiday was a busy week for travel, but crowds were <a href="https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput">still below pre-pandemic levels</a>. </p><p>Before the pandemic reshaped the aviation industry as we know it, Thanksgiving was the US' busiest holiday for air travel. In fact, the US Transportation Security Administration <a href="https://www.tsa.gov/news/press/releases/2019/12/05/tsa-screened-record-breaking-number-thanksgiving-holiday-travelers">screened</a> over 2.8 million passengers on December 1, 2019 — the Sunday after Thanksgiving — and it was the most the agency had ever seen in its history.</p><p>However, 2020 proved to be a risky year for flying due to COVID, and the TSA <a href="https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput">saw</a> record-low numbers as millions of people opted to stay home. In 2021, travel started to rebound with passenger numbers reaching the millions, and the trend has continued into 2022 as volumes break pandemic records.</p><p>TSA spokesperson Lisa Farbstein <a href="https://twitter.com/TSA_Northeast/status/1597217253560553473?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet">posted</a> on Twitter Monday that the agency screened 2,560,623 travelers on Sunday, marking "the highest checkpoint volume since the start of the pandemic."</p><p>Airlines knew it would be a busy week as travel agency Hopper <a href="https://media.hopper.com/articles/thanksgiving-travel-2022-outlook-report">estimated</a> 25 million seats would be flying over the holiday. United Airlines told Insider that it flew more than 476,000 customers on Sunday, and the Thanksgiving holiday period was the carrier's third-busiest behind 2018 and 2019.</p><p>Despite the travel optimism, passenger numbers are still lower than in 2019. Henry Harteveldt, travel analyst and president of Atmosphere Research Group, told Insider that volumes were down 2.4% compared to 2021, and high airfare and the state of the economy may be to blame.</p><p>"Some people may have looked at the airfares and decided to drive to their destination because the fares were simply too expensive," he explained. "And we can't ignore the unstable economy and inflation which has sent the cost of everyday goods soaring and has eaten into many people's discretionary budgets, leaving them less money to travel by air."</p><p><a href="https://media.hopper.com/research/2022-holiday-travel-outlook">According to Hopper</a>, the <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/thanksgiving-air-travel-costs-more-and-might-get-more-expensive-2022-10">2022 average airfare from November 20 to November 24</a> was $350 for roundtrip domestic flights. This is a 43% increase <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/americans-are-booking-christmas-thanksgiving-travel-already-2021-5">compared</a> to 2021, and 22% higher than in 2019.</p><p>Over previous holiday weekends, like <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/memorial-day-weekend-travel-airlines-cancel-4500-flights-and-counting-2022-5">Memorial Day</a> and the <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/more-than-1000-flights-canceled-across-fourth-of-july-weekend-2022-7">Fourth of July</a>, carriers <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/weather-and-staffing-shortages-flight-cancellations-2022-6">canceled or delayed thousands of flights</a>, blaming staffing shortages, weather, and air traffic control for the chaos. </p><p>However, <a href="https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/flightaware/viz/AirlineCancellationDelayUpdate/USAirlineCancellationsDelays">according to FlightAware data</a>, United only canceled 47 flights from Monday through Sunday. Meanwhile, Delta Air Lines canceled 31, Southwest Airlines canceled 24, and American Airlines only canceled 13.</p><p>Although the historically unreliable holiday flight operations may have scared people away from flying over Thanksgiving, Harteveldt told Insider the successful week is a win for US carriers.</p><p>"Airlines have a responsibility to their customers and to their employees to operate the schedules as close to on time as they can in order to help rebuild trust in the air transportation network," he said. "And I think it helps that the Department of Transportation has been so vocal." </p><p>Harteveldt noted Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has put pressure on carriers to perform, especially with the agency's newly <a href="https://www.transportation.gov/airconsumer/airline-customer-service-dashboard">published</a> airline <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/dot-airline-customer-service-dashboard-shows-cancellation-delay-policies-meals-2022-9">customer service dashboard</a>.</p><p>"They have to continue to operate reliably during the next few weeks, during the Christmas and New Year's period, and throughout 2023 and beyond," Harteveldt told Insider.</p>

Thanksgiving travel was still below pre-pandemic levels and it proves air travel isn't back to normal yet

In contrast to its earlier prediction, private weather forecaster Skymet stated it might revise its forecast as rains across country stood 32% below average.<br />
 <br />
Vice-president, meteorology at Skymet, GP Sharma said that by July-end, they might come with a revised forecast for the season and the months of August and September.<br />
 <br /> The forecaster had earlier forecast above normal monsoon rains this year while most other forecasters, including the official <keyword id="6355166" type="ORGANIZATION" weightage="100" keywordseo="India-Meteorological-Department">India Meteorological Department</keyword> (IMD), predicted less than normal rains.<br />
 <br />
However, he said that Skymet would not bring its forecast down, adding that he didn't expect July rains to be 104% of normal as forecasted earlier.<br />
 <br />
"It will surely be in the minus side. But considering there is a margin error of ± 9 per cent in the monthly forecast, we are not wrong in our forecast," Sharma told Economic Times.<br />
 <br />
The financial daily reported that as of July 15, the monthly monsoon rains across the country were 32% below average while the deficit for the whole season stood at 6%.<br />
 <br />
Skymet says that monsoon rains will be 102% of its Long Period Average (LPA) this year, whereas IMD predicted only 88% of the average.<br />
 <br />
"Northwestern India is the only region which has a cumulative rain surplus till now. We expect some improvement in the second half of July, but the deficit will prevail,” DS Pai, head of long-range forecasting at IMD, told ET.<br />
 <br />
IMD is expected to release its next forecast on July 31. It has forecast July rainfall over the country to be 92% of its LPA.<br />
 <br />
"Rainfall deficit for the country in July is 44 mm. We should get 12-13 mm rain daily to catch up with the normal," Skymet's Sharma told ET.<br />
 <br />
He added that monsoons could spring a surprise anytime. "Heavy widespread monsoon showers for a few days can wipe out the deficit as happened in the previous year. Monsoon rains were 40% below normal across India till July 15 in 2014 and with spell of heavy rains the deficit came down to 22% by the month end," Sharma told the financial daily.<br />
 <br />
Meanwhile, Skymet expects August rains to be 99% of the average with good rainfall in the first ten days of the month. <br />
<br />
(Image: Indiatimes)<br />

Bad news! Skymet may revise forecast, expects to rain less in July

<br />
This Wednesday, <a href="http://www.businessinsider.in/searchresult.cms?query=Mumbai">Mumbai</a>'s minimum temperature plummeted to temperatures lower than the hill station Mahableshwar the same day. The <a href="http://www.businessinsider.in/searchresult.cms?query=weather+bureau">weather bureau</a> said the drop in temperatures was because of stronger daytime winds.<br />
<br />
The minimum at Mahableshwar was 14 degrees Celsius. It was 11.6°C at the Santacruz weather station, the second lowest ever recorded in December in over a decade.<br />
<br />
The minimum at Santacruz was 6.3°C below normal. The minimum recorded at the Colaba weather station was 17.8°C. That’s 2.4°C below normal.<br />
<br />
“The winds are almost northerly, leading to low humidity levels and also bringing in winter chill. Weather models indicate the same chill (to continue) for the next two days," said K S Hosalikar, Deputy Director General (West), <a href="http://www.businessinsider.in/searchresult.cms?query=Indian+Meteorological+Department">Indian Meteorological Department</a>. <br />
<br />
Image credit: Indiatimes

Mumbai icier than many hill stations at
11.6°

<p><div class="KonaFilter image-container display-table float_right"><div><div class="image on-image"></div><p></p></div></div>The US may be in for a slightly weaker hurricane season this summer, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't prepare.</p><p>On Wednesday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced that the Atlantic Ocean will see a below-average number of hurricanes this season due to cooler seas and a strong El Niño effect, which makes it <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/r-us-storm-forecasters-predict-below-average-atlantic-hurricane-season-2015-4">harder</a> for hurricanes to form in the Atlantic-Caribbean basin.</p><p>The NOAA's forecast calls for six to 11 tropical storms this year, with three to six reaching hurricane status, including possibly two major hurricanes with winds reaching at least 111 miles-per-hour (178 kph).</p><p>Officials say that people shouldn't take the news as an excuse not to prepare, though.</p><p>"A below-normal season doesn't mean we're off the hook," NOAA Administrator Kathryn Sullivan <a href="http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2015/20150527-noaa-hurricane-outlook-below-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-is-likely-this-year.html">said in a press release</a>. "As we've seen before, below-normal seasons can still produce catastrophic impacts to communities."</p><p>Some years that have been advertised as low years, for example, have seen hurricanes. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew did billions of dollars in damage to an <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/21/20-facts-hurricane-andrew-anniversary_n_1819405.html">unprepared</a> south Florida during what was supposed to be a low hurricane year.</p><p>A report in April by researchers at Colorado State University predicted that the odds of a hurricane making landfall along the entire Atlantic coast is <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/r-us-storm-forecasters-predict-below-average-atlantic-hurricane-season-2015-4">down significantly</a> from the historical average.</p><p>(Reporting by David Adams; Editing by Lisa Von Ahn)</p>    <div class="margin-top">        <h3>NOW WATCH: <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/drone-flies-inside-a-hurricane-2014-9">This Drone Goes Inside A Hurricane To Gather Data That Could Save Your Life</a></h3>        <div>            <div>        <div class="ooyala-video-player" data-video-autoplay="false" data-video-id="g3eDRwcDq7Pl5eT09NlbCFefQFjt0MB-" data-player-variable="ooyalapopvideo" id="ooyalaplayer_popvideo" style="width:1280px;height:720px"></div>        </div>        </div>            </div>

NOAA: Here's what to expect from hurricane season

<p><div class="KonaFilter image-container display-table"><div><div class="image on-image"><p class="source"><span><a href="http://www.gettyimages.com/license/625570608">Eduardo Munoz Alvarez / Getty</a></span></p><p class="caption">People watch the 90th Macy's Annual Thanksgiving Day Parade on November 24, 2016 in New York City.</p></div><p></p></div></div></p><ul><li><strong>Forecasters are predicting a colder-than-usual Thanksgiving week across the Eastern United States, with chilly temperatures extending as far east as Indiana and Tennessee. </strong></li><li><strong>On the West Coast, things could be wetter-than-usual, but temperatures should be warm.</strong></li><li><strong>It will likely be a dry week for the entire eastern half of the US from the Eastern Seaboard to the Rocky Mountains. </strong></li></ul><p><br />The turkeys and pies in the oven won't know the difference, but Americans are in for some weird Thanksgiving Day weather this year.</p><p>The <a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/fxus06.html">National Weather Service</a> is out with its predictions for how temperatures and precipitation will shake out across the country next week - and the <keyword id="6355005" type="COMPANY" weightage="60" keywordseo="News">news</keyword> isn't great for anyone who likes dry weather or warm days.</p><p>People on the East Coast will be in for a colder-than-usual Thanksgiving - with temperatures likely around 5 degrees below normal for that time of year - especially around Washington D.C. and into Maryland, Virginia and northern North Carolina.</p><p><strong>This map shows the likelihood that temperatures will dip below average next week; the darker the blue, the more likely that area is going to see chillier-than-average temperatures from Nov. 20-24:</strong></p><p><strong><div class="KonaFilter image-container display-table"><div><div class="image on-image"><p class="source"><span><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/interactive/index.php">National Weather Service</a></span></p></div><p></p></div></div></strong></p><p>And though it may be cold across the Eastern Seaboard, rain and snow are unlikely.</p><p>The forecast is looking dry and chilly across the entire eastern United States, all the way from the Atlantic coast through the Ohio Valley and the Great Lakes, to the Rocky Mountains.</p><p><strong>This map shows the chances of below normal precipitation totals. Again, the darker the shading, the more likely the area is in for a dry week: </strong></p><p><div class="KonaFilter image-container display-table"><div><div class="image on-image"><p class="source"><span><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/interactive/index.php">National Weather Service</a></span></p></div><p></p></div></div></p><p>It could still be a snowy holiday for some folks who are used to lots of powder. The National Weather Service in State College, Pennsylvania <a href="https://twitter.com/NWSStateCollege/status/930610157117169664">said on Twitter</a> that "<span>odds are trending at or above historical probabilities for white Turkey Day" in the so-called snow belt areas around the Great Lakes. </span></p><p>On the West Coast, however, predictions are reversed.</p><p>Warmer-than-average November temperatures are expected from Monday the 20th to Friday the 24th for most of the western US, with the possibility of rain.</p><p><strong>The chances for "above normal precipitation" are especially pronounced in central and Northern California and the Pacific Northwest, but basically, the entire area west of the Rockies could be in for a wet, snowy week:</strong></p><p><div class="KonaFilter image-container display-table"><div><div class="image on-image"><p class="source"><span><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/interactive/index.php">National Weather Service</a></span></p></div><p></p></div></div></p><p>In Alaska, temperatures could be even more frigid than the typical November lows, which are usually in the teens.</p><p>It's another reminder that <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/winter-weather-forecast-by-region-2017-11">winter is coming</a> across the US. </p>    <div class="margin-top">        <h3>NOW WATCH: <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/airports-worst-thanksgiving-travel-delays-busy-2016-11">The 10 airports that will most likely have the worst Thanksgiving travel delays</a></h3>        <div>                    </div>    </div>

You Searched For "below normal" and got 8 results

Here is how slow monsoons might make your daal and roti costly

Preeti Soni

Hurricane season is right around the corner - here's what to expect

Lydia Ramsey

Another Polar Vortex Is Coming To The East Coast

Dina Spector

Thanksgiving travel was still below pre-pandemic levels and it proves air travel isn't back to normal yet

Taylor Rains

Bad news! Skymet may revise forecast, expects to rain less in July

BI India Bureau

Mumbai icier than many hill stations at 11.6°

BI India Bureau

NOAA: Here's what to expect from hurricane season

Maxwell Tani,Reuters

This Thanksgiving is looking like it's going to be either a cold one or wet one for a lot of Americans

Hilary Brueck

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