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The Fed could tip the US into recession if it waits too long to cut rates, Mohamed El-Erian says

The longer the Fed waits to start lowering rates, the more catchup it'll have to play later, which …

Filip De Mott   


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Ahead of schedule: Why the Fed should cut rates in July, according to Mohamed El-Erian

Data is getting too negative for Mohamed El-Erian's liking, and he says the Fed needs to act quickl…

Filip De Mott   


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Why the Fed's rate-cutting agenda could spark a recession, according to top economist Mohamed El Erian

The economy has a 35% chance of a hard-landing, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian.

Jennifer Sor   


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3 issues that could make or break the US economy over the next year, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian

The Fed's inflation target, low-income spending, and geopolitical fallout are the key areas to watc…

Filip De Mott   


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The Fed is 'held hostage' by data and risks sparking financial instability, Mohamed El-Erian says

"There is an important distinction between being informed by the numbers and being held hostage by …

Filip De Mott   


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3 reasons the US economy's strength right now is a head-fake, according to Mohamed El-Erian

A hard economic landing could still happen given geopolitical turmoil, rising inflation, and deplet…

Filip De Mott   


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The risk of a recession could flare up if the Fed waits too long to cut rates, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says

A June rate cut would be appropriate, but any further delay would raise the odds of a recession, Mo…

Filip De Mott   


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Markets could be delaying rate cuts as they ignore the Fed's signals, Mohamed El-Erian says

"The more markets diverge from the Fed's signals, the more likely they are to push the central bank…

Filip De Mott   


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Investors are rightly treating China like a short-term speculative play, rather than a long-term investment, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says

Long-term traders will only come back when Beijing offers a decisive transition from an economy dep…

Filip De Mott   


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Inflation is stuck and the Fed can't lower prices without damaging the economy, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says

The Fed cutting interest rates prematurely risks letting inflation spiral out of control, top econo…

Jennifer Sor   


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The Fed may be forced to 'reverse course' if it appeases markets with big rate cuts, Mohamed El-Erian says

"If investors price in additional rate cuts, it is harder for the Fed to pursue its mandate without…

Aruni Soni   


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Treasury bonds are losing their status as safe-haven assets, Mohamed El-Erian says

Investors haven't poured into Treasurys during the latest Middle East crisis, signaling their safe-…

Filip De Mott   


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The Fed is bad at communicating and it's confusing people, says El-Erian

The markets have been rallying on the Fed's signal of rate cuts in 2024.

Huileng Tan   


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The Treasury bond market is headed for an unknown destination as it sheds key anchors, Mohamed El-Erian says

"The US bond market is losing its strategic footing, whether in economics, policy, or technical asp…

Filip De Mott   


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Stocks and bonds are in for a 'painful' journey and cash is safer, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian

El-Erian said recently that the odds of the US avoiding a recession have come down amid high intere…

Jennifer Sor   


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2 mins read

Markets are too optimistic about the economy, and 3 drivers behind big stock gains face headwinds, Mohamed El-Erian says

November's rally was driven by a "unique alignment" of Goldilocks data, lower yields, and lower oil…

Aruni Soni   


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The odds the US will avoid a recession may be dwindling, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says

Rapidly rising interest rates and signs pointing to the possibility that inflation rebounds pose a …

Jennifer Sor   


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A 'market romance' over a soft landing led to the biggest monthly loosening of financial conditions ever, Mohamed El-Erian says

Markets shouldn't rally as much as they are if they're pricing in recession-level Fed cuts, Mohamed…

Filip De Mott   


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Top economist Mohamed El-Erian warns of commercial real-estate pain as 'massive' refinancing looms

The commercial-property sector faces "massive" debt refinancing needs, and some of that won't be do…

Zahra Tayeb   


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Brace for a sharp inflation drop that still won't be enough to return the economy to normal, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says

Core inflation is unlikely to return to the Fed's 2% target anytime soon, economist Mohamed El-Eria…

Jennifer Sor