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1 min read

America's 'cardboard-box recession' is finally over, BofA says

Demand in the cardboard packaging industry is recovering, putting an end to an under-the-radar rece…

Filip De Mott   


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2 mins read

Americans' spending patterns are flashing a warning of a possible consumer-led recession

Consumers are pulling back on discretionary purchases, a sign that their stimulus-fueled shopping s…

Jennifer Sor   


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Why the Fed's rate-cutting agenda could spark a recession, according to top economist Mohamed El Erian

The economy has a 35% chance of a hard-landing, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian.

Jennifer Sor   


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A recession indicator with a perfect record has been flashing red for 20 months. It may not be wrong yet.

The inverted yield curve has been ringing the recession alarm for 20 months, but past downturns hav…

Theron Mohamed   


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Recession is still a real threat, Jamie Dimon and David Solomon warn

Don't assume inflation will fade, interest rates will fall, and the economy will escape a recession…

Theron Mohamed   


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Recession will strike this year with 21 states flashing red already, top economist says

When unemployment jumps in nearly half of US states, a recession almost always follows, Piper Sandl…

Theron Mohamed   


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Nearly everyone has given up on their recession call, and that makes the outlook 'dangerously reminiscent' of 2007, SocGen says

Recession views feel dangerously similar to those prior to the 2008 crisis, as consensus shifts to …

Jennifer Sor   


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Fitch's negative outlook for China is more bad news for its stalling economy

Beijing is battling deflation and an ongoing property-market crisis that the ratings agency says is…

George Glover   


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The US economy is already in a recession, and it's following the same path as China by becoming reliant on debt, veteran forecaster says

Rising layoffs and sluggish job growth are major signs the economy is already in a hard landing, on…

Jennifer Sor   


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The odds of a US recession in the near year have dropped to a 2-year low

The likelihood of an economic downturn within the next 12 months has decreased to 33%, according to…

Yuheng Zhan   


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The economy is sending mixed signals about a recession, and that's made the timing of the next rate cut less meaningful

"The pandemic and the enormous policy responses from both monetary and fiscal authorities created d…

Matthew Fox   


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JPMorgan drops its recession call for the first half and now sees a 55% chance of a soft landing for the global economy

"The larger shift in our recent thinking, however, is about the relationship between interest rates…

Yuheng Zhan   


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A recession indicator flashing red for 23 straight months just reversed and that's great news for stocks

The average one-year return for the S&P 500 after the LEI turned positive following a negative stre…

Matthew Fox   


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A stock market correction is coming as rates, inflation, and valuations darken the outlook for investors, strategist says

The S&P 500 is poised for a 5% drop, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall.

Jennifer Sor   


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Why one economist says a US recession is still the most likely outcome

Among a soup of murky indicators, some key signals like capital goods purchases and consumer spendi…

Aruni Soni   


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7 mins read

America's plan to fix its economy is going to screw over the rest of the world

There's a growing gap between America's interest rates and the rest of the world. That's going to c…

Linette Lopez   


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Recession odds are 'very high' as economy looks poised to see an unemployment wave and plunging consumer spending, chief economist says

"Is it possible the Fed cuts rates very dramatically? Yes. But that's only going to happen or most …

Jennifer Sor   


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A closely watched gauge of economic activity says no recession headed for the US

The gauge declined again in January but for the first time in six months, most of the indicator's c…

Yuheng Zhan   


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The US jobs report came in way hotter than expected

The unemployment rate rose from 3.9% in April to 4.0% in May. Meanwhile, job growth in May was way …

Madison Hoff   


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This college professor turned out to be an economic oracle last year. Here's her outlook for 2024.

Belinda Román teaches at a little-known Catholic university in Texas. She called the economy better…

George Glover