Now your tweets can tell us if the debates you're having would turn into violent protests later
A team of US researchers including an Indian-origin scientist has formulated a new method that can predict with 70 percent accuracy the likelihood that your
TOP VIDEOS FOR YOUThe study from researchers at Arizona State University, Texas A&M University and Yahoo and funded in part by the US Military's Office of Naval Research looked at 2,686
"The ways in which protest-related events affect a person are not observable, resulting in a lack of knowledge of factors operating at that time causing his next post to be a declaration of protest," wrote lead researchers Suhas Ranganath, Fred Morstatter and colleagues from Arizona State University.
"A user is subject to various types of influence in his past and many of them are in conflict with each other. This may lead to ambiguities on whether his posts will contain declarations of protest in the future," they added.
The paper titled "Predicting Online Protest Participation of Social Media Users" was published as part of the proceedings of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI) conference in Phoenix, Arizona, recently.
To reach this conclusion, the team observed tweets regarding the Nigerian general election in 2015, which eventually sparked widespread
MSME EXCHANGE 2021Join us in amplifying the voice of over 60 million MSMEs in IndiaJune 28 - 29, 05:00 PM onwards
The team employed Brownian motion theory to design the formula -- a theory that is usually employed to track the movement of particles as well as model stock market fluctuations and other highly complicated systems, www.nextgov.com reported.
The findings can also be applied to scenarios when the complete spreading mechanism is not known like in the case of terror-related tweets.
"In these scenarios, we go into the history of the user and see who have tried to interact with him and the nature of the interactions. So the individual user's response to the attempt of organizations like IS (Islamic State) to interact with him can be modelled using the proposed method," the team told Defense One website.
AdvertisementThe researchers, however, caution that predicting a protest tweet is different than predicting the moment of actual
The paper is part of a $750,000 grant from the Office of Naval Research to study how crisis manifests itself in social media.
Image credit: Indiatimes
- Windows 11 is getting Android apps – you will soon be able to natively run PUBG Mobile and other popular Android apps and games
- Our aim is to become a billion dollar company by the end of 2022: Arvind Iyer, Cuemath
- Reliance Industries, Ashok Leyland, JSW Energy and other stocks to watch out for on June 25
- Andhra Pradesh government cancels class 10, 12 state board exams
- Sebi plans to come out with framework for SPACs to enable listing of startups on domestic stock exchanges, say sources