CRUSHING BLOW: POLL TURNS AGAINST SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE
REUTERS/Suzanne Plunkett
The poll provides a key barometer of Scots' feelings toward independence one week ahead of the Sept. 18 referendum.
YouGov's last poll showed a "yes" vote taking the lead in Scotland, causing the British pound to collapse late last weekend and early this week. The poll released last weekend found 51% of respondents choosing to vote "yes" for independence, while 49% said they would vote "no."
Just five weeks ago, voters in Scotland were decidedly split toward voting "no," as this chart from YouGov shows:
Latest YouGov #IndyRef poll for the Sunday Times: YES 51% (+4), NO 49% (-4) - http://t.co/Byl40sBuiS pic.twitter.com/6wR4h0nD9X
- YouGov (@YouGov) September 6, 2014
A vote for independence could cause massive ramifications throughout Europe, and it would lead to a host of immediate questions for Scotland: Would it be able to still use the British pound, which fell to its lowest level in 10 months on news of the polls? Would it be able to stay a member of NATO? And would it be able to gain re-entry into the European Union?
A "yes" vote would also likely embolden other secessionist movements throughout Europe - what geopolitical expert Ian Bremmer, the president of Eurasia Group, called the "contagion" effect.
Despite tightening polls over the last month, most analysts still expect Scots to vote "no" on the referendum.
We'll update this post with the full results around 5 p.m.
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