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Bitcoin could hit $100,000 if it takes on gold's market share, Goldman Sachs says

Jan 5, 2022, 20:28 IST
Business Insider
BitcoinFrancesco Carta fotografo
  • Bitcoin's price could hit $100,000 if it continues to take market share from gold, Goldman Sachs said.
  • Bitcoin currently commands roughly a 20% share of the "store of value" market, the bank estimated.
  • But if that share were to rise to 50%, then Goldman thinks the price could reach the six-figure milestone.
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The price of bitcoin could hit the elusive $100,000 milestone if the digital asset continues to take market share from gold, Goldman Sachs said.

Bitcoin's float-adjusted market capitalization is currently a little over $700 billion, while the public owns about $2.6 trillion of gold for the purpose of investing, an analyst wrote in a note Tuesday. This means bitcoin commands roughly a 20% share of the "store of value" market, which includes gold.

Bitcoin's market share will likely rise as more institutions turn their eye towards digital assets, Goldman predicted. Moreover, bitcoin-specific scaling solutions continue to be attractive for investors, despite its consumption of real-world resources, the bank added.

"Hypothetically, if bitcoin's share of the 'store of value' market were to rise to 50% over the next five years (with no growth in overall demand for stores of value) its price would increase to just over $100,000, for a compound annualized return of 17-18% (accounting for growth in bitcoin supply over time)," wrote Zach Pandl, Goldman's co-head of global FX and EM strategy.

Bitcoin now 20% of “store of value” marketWorld Gold Council, Bloomberg, Coin Metrics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

The bitcoin-versus-gold argument has intensified in the past months, with bitcoin gaining favor as an inflation hedge amid surging prices for goods and services.

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Last year, the price of bitcoin jumped around 60% while the price of gold fell 3.6%, marking the biggest annual decline since 2015.

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