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Early voter turnout is surging across the country, including in key battleground states

Oct 24, 2018, 21:26 IST

Democratic Senate candidate Beto O'Rourke departs after greeting supporters near a polling place on Monday in Houston.Loren Elliott/Getty Images

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  • Early voting in November's midterm elections has begun - and turnout and enthusiasm are unusually strong among both Republican and Democratic voters across the country.
  • Republicans are outnumbering Democrats among early voters in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee, and Texas, in part because older voters - who skew conservative - vote early in higher rates.
  • Election experts say that if voting rates remain at these levels, next month's midterms could see presidential election year turnout, which would be virtually unprecedented.

Early voting in November's midterm elections has begun - and turnout and enthusiasm are unusually strong among both Republicans and Democrats across the country, including in key battleground states like Texas and Florida.

In Indiana, where Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly is hoping to hang on to his seat in a competitive race, early voting turnout is at presidential election year levels. And in Georgia, where voters will decide a hotly contested governor's race, voters are casting early ballots at three times the rate of the 2014 election.

The Houston Chronicle likened the nearly 2,000 people - many of whom camped out - outside an early voting location in Houston on Monday morning to a Black Friday shopping crowd.

More than 5 million voters had already cast their midterm ballots in 38 states and Washington, DC, as of Monday - and early voting rates typically accelerate as Election Day nears. Election experts say that if voting rates remain at these levels, next month's midterms could see presidential election year turnout, which would be virtually unprecedented.

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Republican are outnumbering Democrats among early voters in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee and Texas, NBC News reported Monday. (In Nevada, Democrats are outpacing Republicans so far.)

This may be in part because older voters - who skew Republican - usually vote at higher rates by absentee ballot, while Democrats show up in bigger numbers in person before Election Day. Mail-in voting is particularly popular among older voters. And in some states, like Michigan, where every voter over the age of 60 is guaranteed an absentee ballot, it's encouraged.

While the early votes cast so far clearly signal elevated turnout and energy, the numbers don't necessarily reflect the final outcome of any election.

A recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll found that enthusiasm among both GOP and Democratic voters has surged recently. The survey found that 68% of Republican voters and 72% of Democrats are very interested in the election, which are the highest recorded rates for both parties in a midterm election since the poll was first conducted in 2006.

And while Democrats maintain their lead on the generic congressional ballot, President Donald Trump's approval rating reached an all-time high of 47% in that poll.

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