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Morgan Stanley says industrial companies will dominate the market going forward - here are the 8 stocks they love the most
Morgan Stanley says industrial companies will dominate the market going forward - here are the 8 stocks they love the most
Joe CiolliSep 14, 2018, 15:33 IST
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Morgan Stanley is the most bearish firm on Wall Street when it comes to equities, but that doesn't mean the firm thinks the market is completely devoid of money-making opportunities.
The firm is bullish on the industrial sector, and has identified eight stocks it thinks will outperform the broader market going forward.
Over the past few weeks, it's made no bones about what it calls a "rolling bear market" - or the the type of long, drawn-out pullback that infects sectors one by one.
The firm has been particularly pointed in its comments about tech, which has led major indexes to record highs, but is now seen by Morgan Stanley as vulnerable to a sharp sell-off.
But this doesn't necessarily mean the firm thinks all areas of the stock market should be off-limits. It just means investors need to take a deep breath and look at industries that are either depressed, underappreciated, or both.
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In the eyes of the equity strategists at Morgan Stanley, the industrial sector fits this to a tee. The firm argues that industrials possess the appealing combination of attractive valuation and future profit upside.
On the valuation front, industrials have become cheap relative to the broader market, even after a massive spike following the 2016 election. This dynamic is shown in the chart below.
In terms of earnings growth, Morgan Stanley notes that upward revisions have diverged from actual performance, which suggests a catch-up is coming. The firm also forecasts that industrial companies will sink enough money into capital expenditures to keep profits growing, even as late-cycle pressure mount.
Morgan Stanley has even gone as far as to highlight eight industrial stocks it loves, and expects to outperform going forward.
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Here are the firm's single stock picks, which can help you ride the predicted wave higher in industrials:
Rationale: "HON represents a long-term rerating opportunity as the company spins out slower growth assets and emphasizes tech differentiation, creating a 2x GDP growth algorithm in a sector where growth is increasingly scarce."
Rationale: "KNX's current risk reward is very attractive given favorable cyclical trends (upcoming peak season and difficult driver market), potential upside to SWFT turnaround synergies, and cheap valuation (KNX is trading at 2008/09 recession levels)."