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NATE SILVER: The US and Germany are the heavy favorites to win the Women's World Cup

Jun 1, 2015, 22:54 IST

The United States is the favorite to win the upcoming Women's World Cup with a 28% chance, just edging out Germany (27%) according to Nate Silver's World Cup prediction model published in ESPN the Magazine.

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The U.S., who last won the World Cup in 1999, and Germany, the 2003 and 2007 champions, are the only two teams being given more than a 1-in-10 chance to win it all. Japan, the defending World Cup champions are next at 9%.

Silver's model also give the U.S. a 96% chance to get out of the group stage and a 41% chance to reach the final.

In all, only seven of the 24 teams have a legit shot to win the tournament (>5%) and only ten countries are given more than a 1% chance to lift the cup at the end.

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