UBSPending home sales tumbled in June and now sit near their historical average. Pending sales are among the most reliable forward indicators of housing activity, meaning the latest decline will likely translate to weaker sales later in the summer.
Experts aren't expecting a bounceback in July, UBS said. Consensus estimates call for another decline, and real estate marketplace Redfin holds a similar outlook.
"Home sellers are increasingly having to lower their expectations," Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin, said in a July report on pending sales. "Many homebuyers have turned to the rental market amid such high home prices, but now with rental prices growing, I expect many will return to the housing market by spring of next year."