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The stock market could be on the verge of a 'lost decade,' Ray Dalio's Bridgewater warns

Jun 19, 2020, 19:58 IST
Business Insider
Bridgewater Associated founder Ray Dalio visits 'Mornings With Maria' hosted by Maria Bartiromo at Fox Business Network Studios on November 30, 2018 in New York City.Roy Rochlin/Getty Images
  • Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Associates said in a note on Tuesday that the stock market could be on the verge of a "lost decade" for investors, Bloomberg reported on Thursday.
  • A "lost decade" for stocks would reverse a years-long trend of strong growth for corporate earnings as globalization has already peaked, Bridgewater said.
  • The firm said the COVID-19 pandemic would harm companies. "Left with lower levels of profits and cash shortfalls, companies are likely to come out on the other side of the coronavirus more indebted," the note said, according to Bloomberg.
  • Bridgewater, the largest hedge fund in the world, recently suffered a 15% slump in assets amid the COVID-19-induced market sell-off.
  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.
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The stock market could be on the verge of a "lost decade" for investors, as globalization "has already peaked," Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Associates said in a note on Tuesday, Bloomberg reported on Thursday.

Bridgewater, the largest hedge fund in the world, said it thought the years-long trend of strong corporate earnings could see a multiyear reversal exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic.

"Globalization, perhaps the largest driver of developed world profitability over the past few decades, has already peaked," the firm said, according to Bloomberg. "Now the U.S.-China conflict and global pandemic are further accelerating moves by multinationals to reshore and duplicate supply chains, with a focus on reliability as opposed to just cost optimization."

Read more: Jefferies created a 6-step process for finding companies that will keep paying strong dividends — and landed on these 20 global stocks as 'rock-solid' picks

The note pointed to developments from two companies, Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor, to back up Bridgewater's thinking on globalization, Bloomberg said. Both firms have recently said they intend to build their next production facilities in the US despite the higher costs.

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"Even if overall profits recover, some companies will die or their shares will devalue along the way," the analysts said, according to Bloomberg. "Left with lower levels of profits and cash shortfalls, companies are likely to come out on the other side of the coronavirus more indebted."

Bridgewater recently suffered a 15% slump in assets amid the COVID-19-induced market sell-off.

Read more: Famed investor Jim Rogers earned a 4,200% return with George Soros. He explains why the US response to COVID-19 is 'embarrassing' — and breaks down 4 purchases he's made amid the fallout.

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