Nate Silver's World Series projection is out and the Chicago Cubs are an enormous favorite
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According to the model at Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight, the Cubs are an enormous favorite over the American League champion Cleveland Indians. Silver's model uses a rating system that accounts for margin of victory, home-field advantage, strength of schedule, and prior performance, and then simulates the World Series thousands of times.
According to Silver's model, the Cubs have a huge 63% chance to win the World Series, with the Indians at 37%.
Of course, for the Cubs fans who are afraid to jinx what would be the club's first championship since 1908, this may not be welcome news.
Here are the game-by-game projections, with Games 1, 2, 6, and 7 scheduled to be played in Cleveland and the Indians only favored in Game 1.
- Cubs 45%, Indians 55%
- Cubs 56%, Indians 44%
- Cubs 65%, Indians 35%
- Cubs 62%, Indians 38%
- Cubs 62%, Indians 38%
- Cubs 53%, Indians 47%
- Cubs 53%, Indians 47%
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