+

Cookies on the Business Insider India website

Business Insider India has updated its Privacy and Cookie policy. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the better experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we\'ll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies on the Business Insider India website. However, you can change your cookie setting at any time by clicking on our Cookie Policy at any time. You can also see our Privacy Policy.

Close
HomeQuizzoneWhatsappShare Flash Reads
 

Russia's inflation drops to its lowest level since the collapse of the Soviet Union

Sep 5, 2017, 19:40 IST

A customer shops at a Victoria supermarket operated by Russian food retailer Dixy Group in Moscow, Russia, October 20, 2016.Maxim Zmeyev/Reuters

Russia's inflation dropped to a post-communist low.

Advertisement

Inflation fell to 3.3% year-over-year in August, according to the country's state statistics service.

That's the lowest reading since the collapse of the Soviet Union, according to data from Trading Economics.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected a reading of 3.7%, following up on July's 3.9%.

"[W]e expect the headline rate to remain below the central bank's 4% target over our forecast horizon," according to William Jackson, senior emerging markets economist at Capital Economics, in a note to clients.

Advertisement

Looking under the hood of the data, food inflation fell to 2.6% year-over-year from the prior month's 3.8%. Non-food goods inflation dropped as well.

"Against this backdrop, we remain confident with our forecast that the central bank will cut the policy interest rate to 8.0% by the end of this year and to 6.0% by end-2018, from 9.0% now," Jackson added. "This is more easing than the markets are currently pricing in."

His team forecasts that the central bank will cut rates by 50 basis points at its next meeting, which will be next week on September 15.

Trading Economics

Advertisement

NOW WATCH: THE BOTTOM LINE: Gary Shilling on expensive stocks and Alibaba vs. Amazon

Next Article