DAVID TEPPER: Until There's Inflation, Nothing Will Happen With Bonds
Tepper rhetorically asked if bond investors in Europe are really being paid enough for the risk they're taking?
"There are a lot of places to lose money," Tepper said, noting that short-term interest rates in a number of countries in Europe, from Germany to Ireland, are negative on a real basis.
"If you look at the Euro Stoxx 50, you have a 3.6% dividend yield," Tepper said. "You have higher dividend yields all through Europe and Japan than the bond market, so at some point that has to turn."
But this "turn" in bonds won't happen, Tepper says, until central bankers, namely Mario Draghi, finally starts doing something.
Tepper said that the beginning of the end would be coming for the bond market when the ECB started a full quantitative easing program. To date, that hasn't happened.
The ECB's next monetary policy meeting is on Thursday.
Tepper also spoke on a number of other subjects including:
- What Bill Gross' departure from PIMCO means for the bond market: "Nothing. Who cares... He's there, he's here, it's not really going to matter that much... the market is the market, its bigger than anybody."
- On the currency market: Tepper said recent weakening in the euro and yen haven't really been big moves. "'Big moves' is when the euro goes to 110 [against the dollar]."
- On the US stock market: "On a multiple basis, its interesting."
- On high-yield bonds: "They were on the rich side of fair value, but now they're in the middle of fair value."
- Tepper, who owns a 5% stake in the Pittsburgh Steelers, was also asked about Roger Goodell and said that right now, "I like my job better."
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