BANK OF AMERICA: Buy these 14 stocks, which will surge even as the US hurtles towards a full-blown trade war with China

Advertisement
BANK OF AMERICA: Buy these 14 stocks, which will surge even as the US hurtles towards a full-blown trade war with China

trader writing taking notes

Richard Drew/AP

Advertisement
  • China escalated its trade dispute with the US on Monday, announcing retaliatory plans to slap 25% tariffs on US goods worth about $60 billion.
  • Strategists and economists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch laid out their investing advice for the worst-case scenario: a "full-blown" trade war.
  • They advised buying quality companies that do most of their business in the US and are placed in defensive corners of the market.
  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.

The stock market's seemingly unstoppable rally was halted last week when one of the biggest risks reared its ugly head again.

President Donald Trump's tweets vowing to escalate the trade dispute with China erased more than $1.4 trillion in market value. He made good on his threats on Friday, when tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods went up to 25% from 10%.

Stocks tumbled some more on Monday after China's finance ministry said it would retaliate with up to 25% in tariffs on US products worth about $60 billion.

The situation has yet to devolve into what many economists would call a "full-blown" trade war. In that scenario, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, nearly all goods exchanged between both countries would be subject to 25% in tariffs. An all-out war would also heighten the risk of a global recession.

Advertisement

BAML saw this worst-case scenario as unlikely prior to the latest act of retaliation by China, but laid out its investment advice to clients just in case. If there's a full-blown trade war, you'll want to own high-quality, domestically oriented stocks in parts of the market that are likely to outperform, the firm said.

The list below is a starting point. It includes BAML's screen of buy-rated stocks with 0% foreign sales, meaning all their business is conducted in the US. It's arranged in descending order of their beta, or sensitivity, to gross domestic product. The more negative the beta, the less reactionary a stock is to declines in GDP.

Get the latest Bank of America stock price here.

{{}}

SIVB Financial Group

SIVB Financial Group

Ticker: SIVB

Sector: Financials

GDP Beta: -0.56

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

American Electric Power Company

American Electric Power Company

Ticker: AEP

Sector: Utilities

GDP Beta: -0.57

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Advertisement

BB&T Corporation

BB&T Corporation

Ticker: BBT

Sector: Financials

GDP Beta: -0.57

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

D.R. Horton

D.R. Horton

Ticker: DHI

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

GDP Beta: -0.61

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Advertisement

FirstEnergy

FirstEnergy

Ticker: FE

Sector: Utilities

GDP Beta: -0.62

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Lennar

Lennar

Ticker: LEN

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

GDP Beta: -0.68

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Advertisement

Consolidated Edison

Consolidated Edison

Ticker: ED

Sector: Utilities

GDP Beta: -0.74

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Huntington Bancshares

Huntington Bancshares

Ticker: HBAN

Sector: Financials

GDP Beta: -0.74

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Advertisement

Duke Realty Corporation

Duke Realty Corporation

Ticker: DRE

Sector: Real Estate

GDP Beta: -0.77

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

HCP

HCP

Ticker: HCP

Sector: Real Estate

GDP Beta: -0.94

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Advertisement

Kohl's

Kohl's

Ticker: KSS

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

GDP Beta: -1.17

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Boston Properties

Boston Properties

Ticker: BXP

Sector: Real Estate

GDP Beta: -1.29

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Advertisement

Regency Centers

Regency Centers

Ticker: REG

Sector: Real Estate

GDP Beta: -1.39

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

CarMax

CarMax

Ticker: KMX

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

GDP Beta: -2.29

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Advertisement