GOLDMAN SACHS: Buy these 15 stocks to profit from the coming wage-growth explosion

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GOLDMAN SACHS: Buy these 15 stocks to profit from the coming wage-growth explosion

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Reuters / Charles Platiau

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  • As the labor market reaches its tightest level since 2000, Goldman Sachs expects wage growth to be pushed higher.
  • The firm has identified 15 companies that it expects to outperform the broader market as wage growth accelerates.

It's a great time to be a US corporate employee.

The unemployment rate sits at 3.8%, its lowest level since 2000, and Goldman Sachs expects it to decline even further. That's great news for wages, which get squeezed higher when the labor market tightens.

Goldman's own model - pictured in the chart below - backs up this assertion.

Screen Shot 2018 06 21 at 3.48.32 PM

Goldman Sachs

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And while this is fantastic news for US workers, it's a troublesome development for companies. Sure, the massive windfall from the GOP tax law has boosted net profit margins to record levels, but rising wages are expected to put serious pressure on pre-tax margins, says Goldman.

With that in mind, there's great value in knowing which companies are best positioned to withstand wage inflation. With less vulnerability to higher labor costs, these firms have a higher likelihood of generating robust profit growth, which has long been the primary driver of stock gains.

Without further ado, here are 15 stocks Goldman says will outperform as wages grow, ranked in decreasing order of implied labor cost as a percentage of revenue.

Get the latest Goldman Sachs stock price here.

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15. LyondellBasell Industries

15. LyondellBasell Industries

Ticker: LYB

Industry: Materials

Market cap: $46 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

14. Anthem

14. Anthem

Ticker: ANTM

Industry: Healthcare

Market cap: $63 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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13. Synchrony Financial

13. Synchrony Financial

Ticker: SYF

Industry: Financials

Market cap: $27 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

12. Lincoln National

12. Lincoln National

Ticker: LNC

Industry: Financials

Market cap: $15 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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11. Aflac

11. Aflac

Ticker: AFL

Industry: Financials

Market cap: $36 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

10. Everest Reinsurance Group

10. Everest Reinsurance Group

Ticker: RE

Industry: Financials

Market cap: $9 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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9. Monster Beverage

9. Monster Beverage

Ticker: MNST

Industry: Consumer staples

Market cap: $32 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

8. Mattel

8. Mattel

Ticker: MAT

Industry: Consumer discretionary

Market cap: $6 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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7. Under Armour

7. Under Armour

Ticker: UA

Industry: Consumer discretionary

Market cap: $8 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 3%

Source: Goldman Sachs

6. Archer-Daniels-Midland

6. Archer-Daniels-Midland

Ticker: ADM

Industry: Consumer staples

Market cap: $26 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 3%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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5. Oneok

5. Oneok

Ticker: OKE

Industry: Energy

Market cap: $28 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 2%

Source: Goldman Sachs

4. Cabot Oil & Gas

4. Cabot Oil & Gas

Ticker: COG

Industry: Energy

Market cap: $11 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 2%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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3. Marathon Petroleum

3. Marathon Petroleum

Ticker: MPC

Industry: Energy

Market cap: $35 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 1%

Source: Goldman Sachs

2. Express Scripts

2. Express Scripts

Ticker: ESRX

Industry: Energy

Market cap: $46 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 1%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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1. Host Hotels & Resorts

1. Host Hotels & Resorts

Ticker: HST

Industry: Energy

Market cap: $16 billion

Implied labor cost as % of revenue: 1%

Source: Goldman Sachs