+

Cookies on the Business Insider India website

Business Insider India has updated its Privacy and Cookie policy. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the better experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we\'ll assume that you are happy to receive all cookies on the Business Insider India website. However, you can change your cookie setting at any time by clicking on our Cookie Policy at any time. You can also see our Privacy Policy.

Close
HomeQuizzoneWhatsappShare Flash Reads
 

MORGAN STANLEY: The Gold Bear Market Is Set To Resume

Apr 8, 2014, 21:05 IST

After tumbling by 28% in 2013, gold has rallied by around 10% since the beginning of the year making it one of the best-performing assets in the world.

Advertisement

However, the analysts at Morgan Stanley believe that this young rally is basically over.

"Gold faces too many structural headwinds to realize significant price appreciation this year," said Joel Crane in Morgan Stanley's new Global Metals Playbook.

Crane joins many analyst who see higher interest rates and a stronger dollar on the horizon.

"Morgan Stanley's global strategic six-month view favours risk assets (equities and credit) over safe havens such as government bonds, and we are also constructive on the USD. This outlook, together with market expectations of rising real US interest rates and bond yields as well as low expectations of inflationary pressure, generates considerable headwinds for the precious metals complex."

Advertisement

Below are two slides from the Global Metals Playbook summing up Morgan Stanley's thesis.

Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

Next Article