MORGAN STANLEY: These 15 large companies are most likely to get acquired within the next 12 months

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MORGAN STANLEY: These 15 large companies are most likely to get acquired within the next 12 months

domino's pizza dough

Thomas Peter/Reuters

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  • Morgan Stanley has updated its screen of large companies that are most likely to be acquired within the next 12 months.
  • The firm finds that companies in the healthcare sector have the highest chances of receiving offers.
  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.

US companies, by and large, are still not trigger happy when it comes to mergers and acquisitions.

M&A offer intensity - or the number of propositions relative to the total number of public companies - has fluctuated around its historical median since the first quarter of 2017, according to data compiled by Morgan Stanley. The firm attributes the current malaise to uncertainty about the trade war, recession concerns, and higher interest rates.

There have been some recent exceptions, including the $89 billion tie-up between Celgene and Bristol-Myers Squibb earlier this year.

But the broader benign environment means that investors should be paying extra-close attention to any companies that dare to venture out into the dealmaking wild.

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Thankfully, Morgan Stanley has done the heavy lifting and identified dozens of large, liquid companies that are most likely to receive offers for the all their business units in the next 12 months.

Their so-called Acquisition Likelihood Estimate Rankings Tool combines factors such as market cap, debt-to-assets, and dividend yield. Some factors are linked to entire sectors: Healthcare companies, for example, are more likely to get offers, while industrials are not as deal-friendly.

The list has been abridged to include no more than two of the largest companies in each sector.

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1. Domino's Pizza

1. Domino's Pizza

Ticker: DPZ

Market Cap: $11.7 billion

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

Closing Price on May 21: $284.97

Source: Morgan Stanley

2. Marriott Vacations Worldwide

2. Marriott Vacations Worldwide

Ticker: VAC

Market Cap: $4.3 billion

Sector: Consumer Discretionary

Closing Price on May 21: $96.74

Source: Morgan Stanley

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3. Performance Food Group

3. Performance Food Group

Ticker: PFGC

Market Cap: $4.3 billion

Sector: Consumer Staples

Closing Price on May 21: $40.94

Source: Morgan Stanley

4. BJ's Wholesale Club

4. BJ's Wholesale Club

Ticker: BJ

Market Cap: $3.58 billion

Sector: Consumer Staples

Closing Price on May 21: $25.56

Source: Morgan Stanley

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5. WPX Energy

5. WPX Energy

Ticker: WPX

Market Cap: $5.34 billion

Sector: Energy

Closing Price on May 21: $12.69

Source: Morgan Stanley

6. Transocean

6. Transocean

Ticker: RIG

Market Cap: $4.66 billion

Sector: Energy

Closing Price on May 21: $7.63

Source: Morgan Stanley

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7. Onemain Holdings

7. Onemain Holdings

Ticker: OMF

Market Cap: $4.38 billion

Sector: Financials

Closing Price on May 21: $32.13

Source: Morgan Stanley

8. American National Insurance

8. American National Insurance

Ticker: ANAT

Market Cap: $3.11 billion

Sector: Financials

Closing Price on May 21: $115.37

Source: Morgan Stanley

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9. Allergan

9. Allergan

Ticker: AGN

Market Cap: $45.30 billion

Sector: Healthcare

Closing Price on May 21: $138.48

Source: Morgan Stanley

10. Alexion Pharmaceuticals

10. Alexion Pharmaceuticals

Ticker: ALXN

Market Cap: $28.87 billion

Sector: Healthcare

Closing Price on May 21: $128.80

Source: Morgan Stanley

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11. Welbilt

11. Welbilt

Ticker: WBT

Market Cap: $2.34 billion

Sector: Industrials

Closing Price on May 21: $16.63

Source: Morgan Stanley

12. First Solar

12. First Solar

Ticker: FSLR

Market Cap: $6.21 billion

Sector: Information Technology

Closing Price on May 21: $58.94

Source: Morgan Stanley

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13. Synnex

13. Synnex

Ticker: SNX

Market Cap: $4.97 billion

Sector: Information Technology

Closing Price on May 21: $97.02

Source: Morgan Stanley

14. Ingevity

14. Ingevity

Ticker: NGVT

Market Cap: $3.79 billion

Sector: Materials

Closing Price on May 21: $90.53

Source: Morgan Stanley

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15. Scotts Miracle-Gro

15. Scotts Miracle-Gro

Ticker: SMG

Market Cap: $4.99 billion

Sector: Materials

Closing Price on May 21: $90.19

Source: Morgan Stanley