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NFL Week 2: Picks against the spread for every game this week

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NFL Week 2: Picks against the spread for every game this week
  • Insider is predicting the outcomes of every NFL game this season.
  • Our Week 1 picks went a solid 9-7 against the spread.
  • For Week 2, we're backing the Bengals, Ravens, and Broncos to cover the number.

LAST WEEK: 9-7
OVERALL: 9-7

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New England Patriots (-2) over Pittsburgh Steelers*

New England Patriots (-2) over Pittsburgh Steelers*
Mac Jones signals at the line of scrimmage against the Miami Dolphins.AP Photo/Doug Murray

The Steelers officially moved superstar T.J. Watt to the IR this week, leaving a mighty hole in their defensive front. While Minkah Fitzpatrick can still cause plenty of trouble, the Patriots should be able to get their act together enough to get past Pittsburgh.

Last week, quarterback Mitch Trubisky and the Steelers' offense managed just 20 points in regulation despite their defense securing five turnovers to give them solid field position and ample possessions. Those are the types of missed opportunities that Bill Belichick's teams usually make you pay for.

Baltimore Ravens* (-3.5) over Miami Dolphins

Baltimore Ravens* (-3.5) over Miami Dolphins
Devin Duvernay celebrates a touchdown with quarterback Lamar Jackson.AP Photo/Adam Hunger

The Ravens weren't tested all that much against the New York Jets, but Lamar Jackson should have a huge year provided he can stay on the field all season. The Dolphins got off to a strong start against the Patriots, but a road trip to Baltimore is no easy task.

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New Orleans Saints* (+2.5) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New Orleans Saints* (+2.5) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameis Winston hands the ball off to Alvin Kamara against the Atlanta Falcons.AP Photo/Brynn Anderson

Tom Brady is 0-4 in regular season matchups against the New Orleans Saints since his arrival in Tampa Bay. The last one of those losses was an embarrassing 9-0 defeat in Tampa, where Brady was outdueled by Taysom Hill of all people.

Brady does have plenty of potential to finally break out a revenge game against his late-career divisional foe, but the trend is strong enough that I will wait for him to prove he can do it before backing the Buccaneers in this spot.

Jacksonville Jaguars* (+3.5) over Indianapolis Colts

Jacksonville Jaguars* (+3.5) over Indianapolis Colts
Trevor Lawrence looks to throw against the Washington Commanders.AP Photo/Nick Wass

This is a tough game to get a read on, as the Colts might be very good despite a mediocre showing against the Texans last week. Still, this is a divisional game and the Jaguars should be hungry to secure a home win after last year's season from hell.

The half-point hook was the tiebreaker here, but it might be best to put your money elsewhere unless you have a really strong read on this game.

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New York Jets (+6.5) over Cleveland Browns*

New York Jets (+6.5) over Cleveland Browns*
Joe Flacco warms up before the second half against the Baltimore Ravens.AP Photo/Adam Hunger

Joe Flacco and the Jets looked absolutely lost last weekend, but Jacoby Brissett should not be a touchdown favorite against anybody.

New York Giants* (-1.5) over Carolina Panthers

New York Giants* (-1.5) over Carolina Panthers
Saquon Barkley celebrates a touchdown against the Tennessee Titans.AP Photo/Mark Zaleski

The Carolina Panthers might be a dead team walking, with a placeholder quarterback and a head coach waiting to be fired.

Meanwhile, the vibes in the New York Giants locker room are absolutely electric.

Can't bet against that.

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Detroit Lions* (-1) over Washington Commanders

Detroit Lions* (-1) over Washington Commanders
Amon-Ra St. Brown celebrates a touchdown against the Philadelphia Eagles.AP Photo/Lon Horwedel

The Detroit Lions showed plenty of fight in a 38-35 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles last week. While the defense certainly needs some work — and could be susceptible to another good day from Commanders QB Carson Wentz — Detroit might have one of the best rushing attacks in the league. If D'Andre Swift can keep the Lions offense moving, this should be a win for the home team.

Atlanta Falcons (+10) over Los Angeles Rams*

Atlanta Falcons (+10) over Los Angeles Rams*
Marcus Mariota makes a throw against the New Orleans Saints.AP Photo/John Bazemore

Matthew Stafford did not look good against the Buffalo Bills to start the season. He's had 10 days to get healthy, and the Rams could be set for a great bounce-back game, but this Falcons team doesn't look like one to just roll over. Until Stafford's arm is back in playing shape, I won't be laying double-digit points with Los Angeles.

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Seattle Seahawks (+8.5) over San Francisco 49ers*

Seattle Seahawks (+8.5) over San Francisco 49ers*
Geno Smith looks to throw against the Denver Broncos.AP Foto/Stephen Brashear

The 49ers Week 1 loss to the Bears in Chicago was something of a wash. Literally. Through monsoon conditions, it's difficult to judge the potential of quarterback Trey Lance, who has taken over the San Francisco offense this year.

But even dismissing the disappointing showing in Chicago, there's no reason for Lance, still largely unproven, to be a touchdown favorite against a Seahawks team that looked better than anyone expected last week.

Sure, Seattle is at risk of a let-down game after the high-running emotions from Week 1 — taking down former franchise QB Russell Wilson to start the season — but Geno Smith looked good with the football, and Lance still hasn't shown anything that indicates he's a world-beater yet.

Cincinnati Bengals (-7) over Dallas Cowboys*

Cincinnati Bengals (-7) over Dallas Cowboys*
Joe Burrow signals after running for a first down against the Pittsburgh Steelers.AP Photo/Jeff Dean

Joe Burrow turned the ball over five times against the Pittsburgh Steelers last week. Despite that, if not for a blocked extra point late in the fourth quarter, Burrow and the Bengals would have escaped Pittsburgh with a win.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys are without quarterback Dak Prescott, and will instead be leaning on Cooper Rush to lead the offense. Even with a brilliant showing from the Dallas defense, the Bengals should walk all over them.

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Denver Broncos* (-10) over Houston Texans

Denver Broncos* (-10) over Houston Texans
Russell Wilson looks to throw against the Seattle Seahawks.AP Photo/Stephen Brashear

The Broncos struggled on the road in Seattle last weekend, but look for Denver to open things up for Russell Wilson's first home game at Mile High Stadium.

Against a Texans team that outplayed their expectations last week, Wilson and the Broncos have a great look at a get-right game. This should not be close.

Las Vegas Raiders* (-5) over Arizona Cardinals

Las Vegas Raiders* (-5) over Arizona Cardinals
Derek Carr looks to throw against the Los Angeles Chargers.AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez
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Green Bay Packers* (-9.5) over Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers* (-9.5) over Chicago Bears
Aaron Rodgers makes a throw against the Minnesota Vikings.AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn

Aaron Rodgers still doesn't have anyone to throw to, which is admittedly a problem.

But the Bears won't have the pouring rain to serve as an equalizer in this game, and Rodgers should take care of business at home against a divisional foe, which he has repeatedly said he "owns."

He's not wrong — the Packers have beaten the Bears in six straight outings, the last four of which have all come by double digits.

Tennessee Titans (+9.5) over Buffalo Bills*

Tennessee Titans (+9.5) over Buffalo Bills*
Derrick Henry makes a run against the New York Giants.AP Photo/Mark Zalesk

The Bills looked like the best team in football last week. Still, this line feels like an overreaction to Week 1.

Had this game been played last week, it feels like the spread would be, at most, Buffalo -6. Instead, the Bills played a near-perfect game, and the Titans looked atrocious. When a line moves that much based on one week of action, it's usually smart to take the side that got the extra juice.

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Minnesota Vikings (+2) over Philadelphia Eagles*

Minnesota Vikings (+2) over Philadelphia Eagles*
Justin Jefferson attempts to secure a catch against the Green Bay Packers.AP Photo/Abbie Parr

Justin Jefferson is going to be a problem this year, as he already has been in years past. This should be a stellar game, with two intriguing offenses going up against defenses with something to prove.