Legendary investor Mark Mobius says the S&P 500 is forming a 'dangerous' double-top pattern as investor concern grows about a hung election
Advertisement
Emily Graffeo
Oct 28, 2020, 02:39 IST
Jonathan Wong/South China Morning Post via Getty Images
Investing legend Mark Mobiustold CNBC on Tuesday he sees a dangerous double-top forming in the S&P 500 as investor concern about a hung election grows.
A double-top is a bearish reversal pattern that tends to occur at or near the high of a security.
The founding partner of Mobius Capital Partners said investors around the world are watching the US election closely, "because they know a downturn in the US market will affect everybody."
Investing legend Mark Mobius told CNBC that the S&P 500 is forming a "dangerous" double-top pattern as investors grow worried that the US election may be contested.
A double-top is a bearish reversal pattern that tends to occur at or near the high of a security. The security surges, dips, then surges back near the same level. If the price then falls below the support level reached during the intermittent dip, the double top is confirmed.
"It is interesting if you are a technician, you look at the S&P 500 and it looks like a double top is forming, which is quite dangerous," said Mobius. "So I think people are quite concerned not only about who will win, but whether there is going to be a hung election."
The S&P 500 hit a record closing high of 3,580 on September 2, then endured a sharp decline during the rest of the month. The benchmark index climbed back to a high of 3,534 points on October 12 but has now lost roughly 2% since then.
Advertisement
The founding partner of Mobius Capital Partners said that the US election is having a "big bearing on the markets" globally.
"I think a lot of investors, not only in the U.S. but around the world, are watching this very, very carefully because they know a downturn in the US market will affect everybody," he said.
Mobius added that a Joe Biden victory may be bad for the US and international markets in the short term. In the long term, investors will need to wait and see what policy changes the former vice president enacts.
"If he decides not to impose tax increases, then that would be good for the markets, so we have to watch what the actual actions are once he gets into office, if he does get into office," said the investor.
{{}}
NewsletterSIMPLY PUT - where we join the dots to inform and inspire you. Sign up for a weekly brief collating many news items into one untangled thought delivered straight to your mailbox.
Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn just called the top in stocks and gave 10 reasons tech is in a bubble
Markets haven't yet priced in a Biden win and so the dollar still has plenty of room to weaken, Deutsche Bank says
A top Wall Street investment strategist breaks down how to invest heading into an unpredictable US election — and what to do if the outcome is contested