To date, there have only been 28 tech IPOs in 2015, totaling $9.4 billion in value - down from 62 deals in 2014 valued at $40.8 billion total, data from Dealogic show. Even excluding last year's $25 billion Alibaba IPO, activity this year is down about 40%.
But analysts, bankers, and pundits predict that trend toward staying private is likely to reverse next year.
Venture capital database CB Insights created an algorithm called Mosaic to predict which tech companies are most likely to go public next year.
They looked at factors including:
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Companies' financial health and who their investors are (big names like Sequoia rank higher than smaller names)
Which industries within tech companies are in (big data, internet of things, and cybersecurity rank higher than the daily deals space, for example)
Companies' hiring trends (hiring VPs of sales is not a good sign, but hiring HR professionals, or a CFO is)
Customer and partner signings
Sentiment (measured by media and social media mentions)
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