15 maps show how much worse Bernie Sanders fared in the 2020 Super Tuesday primaries compared to 2016

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15 maps show how much worse Bernie Sanders fared in the 2020 Super Tuesday primaries compared to 2016
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  • Former VP Joe Biden crushed the competition in March 3rd Super Tuesday contests as Sen. Bernie Sanders lost multiple states he carried in 2016 and underperformed in nearly every other.
  • Biden consolidated much of the party behind his candidacy and overwhelmingly swept ten Super Tuesday contests, amassing a big delegate lead over Sanders.
  • Insider put together 15 maps and charts to break down exactly how Sanders fared in every 2020 Super Tuesday state compared to his 2016 presidential run.
  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.

After outright winning or tying for first place in the Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada primary contests, Sen. Bernie Sanders seemed on an unstoppable path to the nomination.

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But Sanders' big winning streak came to a screeching halt first with former VP Joe Biden's big win in the South Carolina primary and then in March 3rd's Super Tuesday contests, where fifteen states and territories held primaries and caucuses to allocate about 35% of national pledged delegates to the nomination.

Coming off the tails of his South Carolina victory, Biden consolidated much of the party behind his candidacy and overwhelmingly swept ten Super Tuesday contests, including in largely liberal states like Minnesota, Maine, and Massachusetts that Sanders carried in 2016 and was favored to win again.

Going into tomorrow's March 10 primary contests, Biden now holds a massive delegate lead over Sanders which he is poised to widen in states like Mississippi, Missouri, and Michigan which all vote tomorrow.

Sanders was disadvantaged this time around a few key factors, first and foremost by the size of the field. While 2016 was largely a two-person race between him and Hillary Clinton, Sanders had to contend with fellow top-tier candidates Biden as well as former Mayor Mike Bloomberg and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, both of whom won delegates but quit the race after Super Tuesday.

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Not only did Biden prove to be a formidable opponent, but Bloomberg, Warren, or both reaching double-digits in some states like Utah, Colorado, and California further splintered the vote, making it harder in nearly every state for Sanders to rack up delegates at both the district and statewide level.

And on Super Tuesday, Biden built on his momentum from South Carolina and dominated Sanders among African-American voters, who make up a substantial proportion of the Democratic primary electorate in key Super Tuesday states like Alabama, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Arkansas.

While Biden was expected to perform well among black voters after South Carolina, Biden also impressively consolidated much of Sanders' former 2016 coalition behind his candidacy as the increase in young voter turnout that Sanders argued his candidacy could produce ultimately failed to materialize.

Biden not only won big in the suburban areas of states like Virginia and North Carolina with high proportions of college-educated residents, but also in the rural and predominately working-class parts of states like Oklahoma, Minnesota, and Maine that Sanders easily swept by big margins in 2016.

Voter turnout surged by over 60% compared to 2016 primary levels in big, delegate-rich states like Virginia and Texas, but the higher turnout among white, black, rural, and suburban voters alike benefited Biden and not Sanders - the opposite effect of what Sanders' campaign had been banking on.

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Beyond Sanders failing to turn out young voters in particular on election day, some election analysts theorize that because Clinton was a far more unpopular and polarizing figure than Biden, Sanders' 2016 primary voters may have been more negatively motivated to cast a vote against Clinton than positively motivated to explicitly vote for Sanders and his platform.

Insider put together 15 maps and charts to break down exactly how Sanders fared in every 2020 Super Tuesday state compared to his 2016 presidential run, and illustrate how his share of the vote declined in every 2020 Super Tuesday state but California.

While Colorado, Maine, Utah, and California have already been called for either Biden or Sanders, they are still in the process of fully counting all mail-in and absentee ballots, meaning we don't yet have 100% of the returns reporting from those states and can't fully map the county-by-county results.

Here's how Sanders' performance in 2020 Super Tuesday states compares to how he did in the same states in 2016:

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On Super Tuesday 2020, Sanders emerged victorious in California, which he lost in 2016, but lost Oklahoma, Maine, and Minnesota — all of which he carried in 2016 — to Biden.

On Super Tuesday 2020, Sanders emerged victorious in California, which he lost in 2016, but lost Oklahoma, Maine, and Minnesota — all of which he carried in 2016 — to Biden.

In 2016, Sanders won Oklahoma, Minnesota, and Maine by 10, 24, and 29 percentage points, respectively, over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. He lost all three states to Biden in 2020.

As the chart notes, California, Utah, and Maine switched their primaries to Super Tuesday for 2020.

See full Super Tuesday 2020 results here

In 2020, Sanders slightly underperformed his 2016 margin in Alabama by about 2.5 percentage points.

In 2020, Sanders slightly underperformed his 2016 margin in Alabama by about 2.5 percentage points.

In both 2016 and 2020, Sanders was handily defeated by his rivals in Alabama and didn't win a single county in either cycle.

See full 2020 Alabama primary results here

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Sanders also lost Arkansas in both the 2016 and 2020 cycles. In 2020, he carried just one county in the state and underperformed his 2016 margin by over seven points.

Sanders also lost Arkansas in both the 2016 and 2020 cycles. In 2020, he carried just one county in the state and underperformed his 2016 margin by over seven points.

See full Arkansas Democratic primary results here

California, which moved up its primary from June to Super Tuesday in March for 2020, is the only state so far that Sanders lost in 2016 but is expected to win in 2020.

California, which moved up its primary from June to Super Tuesday in March for 2020, is the only state so far that Sanders lost in 2016 but is expected to win in 2020.

See full California 2020 primary results here

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While Sanders still won Colorado in 2020, his share of the vote fell by 22 %.

While Sanders still won Colorado in 2020, his share of the vote fell by 22 %.

See full Colorado Democratic primary results here

Sanders handily won every county in Maine in 2016, but lost the state to Biden in 2020, seeing his vote share fall from 64% to just 33% in 2020.

Sanders handily won every county in Maine in 2016, but lost the state to Biden in 2020, seeing his vote share fall from 64% to just 33% in 2020.

See full 2020 Maine primary results

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Sanders' vote share in Massachusetts plummeted by almost 20 percentage points from 48% in 2016 to 26% in 2020, finding himself squeezed on both sides by Biden and Warren.

Sanders' vote share in Massachusetts plummeted by almost 20 percentage points from 48% in 2016 to 26% in 2020, finding himself squeezed on both sides by Biden and Warren.

In 2016, Clinton eked out a narrow 1.4% point win over Sanders in Massachusetts. But in one of the biggest upsets of Super Tuesday 2020, Biden carried the state by 7.2 percentage points.

Sanders picked up control of Suffolk County, which includes the city of Boston, and held control of Franklin and Hampshire counties in Western Massachusetts, but lost every other county he won in 2016.

See full 2020 Massachusetts primary results

Biden thoroughly defeated Sanders in Minnesota on Super Tuesday. Sanders' vote share in the state fell by nearly 32 percentage points from 62% in 2016 to 30% in 2020.

Biden thoroughly defeated Sanders in Minnesota on Super Tuesday. Sanders' vote share in the state fell by nearly 32 percentage points from 62% in 2016 to 30% in 2020.

In another huge Super Tuesday upset, Biden won Minnesota — where Sanders had led the polls — after its home-state Senator Sen. Amy Klobuchar dropped out of the race the day before the election and endorsed Biden.

See full Minnesota Democratic primary results here

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Sanders' vote share in North Carolina fell by 17 percentage points between 2016 and 2020.

Sanders' vote share in North Carolina fell by 17 percentage points between 2016 and 2020.

As the map shows, Sanders particularly lost ground between 2016 and 2020 in the Appalachian Mountains region in the Western part of the state, which is disproportionately white, rural, and working class.

See full North Carolina 2020 Democratic primary results.

Oklahoma was one of two Super Tuesday states that Sanders overwhelmingly carried in 2016 but lost in 2020, with his vote share in the state falling by almost 27 percentage points.

Oklahoma was one of two Super Tuesday states that Sanders overwhelmingly carried in 2016 but lost in 2020, with his vote share in the state falling by almost 27 percentage points.

In 2020, Biden carried every single county in Oklahoma.

See full Oklahoma 2020 Democratic primary results here.

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In Tennessee, Sanders won about 8,000 more votes in 2020 compared to 2016, but saw his share of the vote total decrease by over seven percentage points.

In Tennessee, Sanders won about 8,000 more votes in 2020 compared to 2016, but saw his share of the vote total decrease by over seven percentage points.

See full results of the 2020 Tennessee Democratic primary here.

In Texas, which Sanders lost in both 2020 and 2016, his share of the vote slightly declined from 33% in 2016 to 30% as turnout dramatically increased.

In Texas, which Sanders lost in both 2020 and 2016, his share of the vote slightly declined from 33% in 2016 to 30% as turnout dramatically increased.

See full results of the Texas 2020 Democratic primary

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Sanders resoundingly won Utah in 2016 with almost 80% of the vote. While he carried the state again in 2020, his vote share fell by 44 points to 35%.

Sanders resoundingly won Utah in 2016 with almost 80% of the vote. While he carried the state again in 2020, his vote share fell by 44 points to 35%.

See full results of the 2020 Utah Democratic primary here.

Sanders carried his home state of Vermont in both 2016 and 2020, but saw his margin of victory drastically fell by 72 percentage points in 2016 to 29 points over Biden this year.

Sanders carried his home state of Vermont in both 2016 and 2020, but saw his margin of victory drastically fell by 72 percentage points in 2016 to 29 points over Biden this year.

See full results of the 2020 Vermont Democratic primary here

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Sanders' share of the vote in Virginia fell by 12 percentage points between 2016 and 2020 as voter turnout in the state's primary dramatically increased by almost 70%

Sanders' share of the vote in Virginia fell by 12 percentage points between 2016 and 2020 as voter turnout in the state's primary dramatically increased by almost 70%

See full results of the 2020 Virginia Democratic primary

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