Brookings Expert Gives A Sobering Prediction About Iraq
REUTERS/Thaier Al-Sudani
ISIS began its offensive early last week and have captured Iraq's second-largest city of Mosul, the country's rivers, and various energy facilities.
And then he makes a very sobering prediction:
"If military developments in Iraq conform to this most likely scenario, they could lead to a protracted, bloody stalemate along those lines," Pollack, who served as one of the CIA's Persian Gulf military analysts during the 1990-91 Gulf War, writes. "In that case, one side or the other would have to receive disproportionately greater military assistance from an outside backer than its adversary to make meaningful territorial gains. Absent that, the fighting will probably continue for years and hundreds of thousands will die."
Given that the civil war in neighboring Syria is in its fourth year and the border between the two countries has effectively vanished, the idea that Iraq will also be engulfed in a sectarian civil war is daunting.
This map from June 12 shows the sectarian boundaries int he country (as well as the expanding Kurdish territory):
REUTERS
- Exploring the world on wheels: International road trips from India
- 10 worst food combinations you must avoid as per ayurveda
- Top seeds that keep you cool all summer
- 8 mouthwatering mango recipes to try this season
- India's hidden gems where the thermometer doesn't cross 20 degrees
- Nothing Phone (2a) blue edition launched
- JNK India IPO allotment date
- JioCinema New Plans
- Realme Narzo 70 Launched
- Apple Let Loose event
- Elon Musk Apology
- RIL cash flows
- Charlie Munger
- Feedbank IPO allotment
- Tata IPO allotment
- Most generous retirement plans
- Broadcom lays off
- Cibil Score vs Cibil Report
- Birla and Bajaj in top Richest
- Nestle Sept 2023 report
- India Equity Market